China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited HK$44.54, price HK$46.78, upside -4.8%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited
1880 · HKNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range HK$38.16 – HK$256.73 · fair‑value band HK$33.41 – HK$55.68 · the HK$46.78 price screens above the HK$44.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in duty-free tourism retail business in China. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of duty-free commodities, such as tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, watches and jewelry, apparel and bags, and electronic products, as well as food.
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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in duty-free tourism retail business in China. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of duty-free commodities, such as tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, watches and jewelry, apparel and bags, and electronic products, as well as food. It is also involved in the investment and development of commercial complexes for duty-free businesses. The company was formerly known as China International Travel Service Corporation Limited and changed its name to China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited in June 2020. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Tourism Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880) currently trades at HK$46.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$44.54, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$54.11 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$46.78 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$15.59, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$33.41 (bear) to HK$55.68 (bull), the price of HK$46.78 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited reported revenue of 53.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 67.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −21.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$96.8B (≈ $12.3B) · P/E ratio 21.6 · P/S ratio 1.44 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.8132 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 6.7% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −5%, 1880 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Notify me when 1880 reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 218 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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