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Asiaray Media Group Ltd (1993) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$282M

AM Asiaray Media Group Ltd 1993 · HK
PriceHK$0.4200
Fair ValueHK$0.7100
Upside+69.1%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.5400 – HK$0.8900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price −31.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 69% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.88 HK$0.4200 Fair Value HK$0.7100 Feb 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4200 – HK$5.88 · fair‑value band HK$0.5400 – HK$0.8900 · the HK$0.4200 price screens below the HK$0.7100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Asiaray Media Group Ltd (1993) currently trades at HK$0.4200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7100, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Asiaray Media Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$916M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at HK$87.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5400 (bear case) to HK$0.8900 (bull case); at HK$0.4200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 69%, 1993 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$6.73 HK$8.28 HK$10.58 80
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 HK$0.4000 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.05 HK$5.02 HK$6.30 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$6.57 HK$8.22 HK$10.87 38
Owner Earnings HK$4.52 HK$5.63 HK$7.43 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.05 HK$4.84 HK$5.97 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$6.37 HK$8.85 HK$12.12 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.45 HK$3.80 HK$4.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$5.20 HK$5.83 HK$6.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$6.43 HK$7.94 HK$9.50 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.92 HK$5.28 HK$5.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2600 54
EPV HK$0.8800 HK$0.9600 HK$1.03 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.4600 HK$0.6100 HK$0.7700 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3600 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3600 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.44 HK$3.17 HK$3.91 53
EV/EBITDA HK$7.17 HK$9.49 HK$11.81 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.90 HK$2.62 HK$3.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.73 HK$8.28 HK$10.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.05 HK$5.02 HK$6.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 HK$0.4000 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.8800 HK$0.9600 HK$1.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.3200 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6000 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.63) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$916M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow HK$419M FY2025
Operating margin 8.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
Net debt HK$87.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Asiaray Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an out-of-home media company in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through Airports Business, Metro and Billboards Business, and Bus and Other Business segments.

Full company description

Asiaray Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an out-of-home media company in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through Airports Business, Metro and Billboards Business, and Bus and Other Business segments. It develops and operates out-of-home advertising media, including advertising in airports, metro lines, and billboards and building solutions. In addition, the company offers advertising services in bus exterior and interior, and bus shelter, as well as advertising services from other media spaces. Further, it provides design, consultancy, construction, and maintenance services; advertising production, installation, and dismantling services; and design engineering and consulting services, signage, and street furniture activities, as well as invests in properties. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong. Asiaray Media Group Limited is a subsidiary of Media Cornerstone Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Asiaray Media Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$916M in FY2025 versus HK$2.3B in FY2021, a compound −20.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$916M
Latest YoY
−14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Revenue −20.4%/yr
FY21 HK$2.3B
FY22 HK$1.9B
FY23 HK$1.6B
FY24 HK$1.1B
FY25 HK$916M
Net income
FY21 −HK$176M
FY22 −HK$128M
FY23 −HK$34.3M
FY24 −HK$51.8M
FY25 HK$13.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asiaray Media Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1993

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +69% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.98× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 23
FUTURE 6 · sector 6
PAST 32 · sector 5
HEALTH 51 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Omnicom Group OMC $85.51 $99.84 +17%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Affle 3i Limited AFFLE ₹1,643 ₹611.48 -63%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥7.33 ¥1.14 -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Asiaray Media Group Ltd (1993) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7100 versus a price of HK$0.4200, about +69% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1993?
Our model-based fair value for Asiaray Media Group Ltd is HK$0.7100 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4200.
What is the quality score of 1993?
Asiaray Media Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Asiaray Media Group Ltd (1993)?
Asiaray Media Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$916M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1993?
The net profit margin of Asiaray Media Group Ltd is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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