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KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of KATRINA GROUP LTD. S$0.04, price S$0.07, upside -40.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · SG · ISIN SG1DA5000005

KG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

KATRINA GROUP LTD.

1A0 · SG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 0.0386 SGD · Strongly overvalued (−40.6%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.1180 SGD 0.0100 SGD Fair Value 0.0386 SGD Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0100 SGD – 0.1180 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0302 SGD – 0.0470 SGD · the 0.0650 SGD price screens above the 0.0386 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Katrina Group Ltd., an investment holding company, owns and operates restaurants and cafes in Singapore. The company operates in two segments, Food and Beverages, and Hospitality. It also provides online food ordering and delivery services; hospitality management services; and manufactures and distributes food products.

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Katrina Group Ltd., an investment holding company, owns and operates restaurants and cafes in Singapore. The company operates in two segments, Food and Beverages, and Hospitality. It also provides online food ordering and delivery services; hospitality management services; and manufactures and distributes food products. In addition, the company offers fully furnished serviced apartments under the ST Residences brand; and co-living hotels under the ST Signature brand. It operates restaurants under the Bali Thai, Daily Beer, Daily Chicken, Rico Rico, Sanchos taqueria, So Pho, Streats, and Tomo Tokyo brands. Katrina Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0) currently trades at 0.0650 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0386 SGD, 40.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.2800 SGD per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the 0.0650 SGD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 SGD, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0302 SGD (bear) to 0.0470 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0650 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

KATRINA GROUP LTD. reported revenue of 46.0M SGD in FY2025 versus 53.8M SGD in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −2.8M SGD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.5M SGD (≈ $5.1M) · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) −0.0100 SGD · Net margin −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −10.7% · Revenue (TTM) 44.4M SGD · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 550% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −41%, 1A0 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0302 SGD Fair Value 0.0386 SGD Bull 0.0470 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.6000 SGD 0.8100 SGD 1.20 SGD 80
Growth DCF 0.6200 SGD 0.8300 SGD 1.18 SGD 79
Owner Earnings 0.4500 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.9100 SGD 76
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.6000 SGD 0.8100 SGD 1.20 SGD 80
Owner Earnings 0.4500 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.9100 SGD 76
5Y Revenue Exit 0.2500 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.3000 SGD 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.5100 SGD 0.7200 SGD 1.00 SGD 75
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3800 SGD 0.4100 SGD 0.4400 SGD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.5400 SGD 0.6800 SGD 0.8400 SGD 70
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.0300 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 66
EV/EBITDA 0.5200 SGD 0.6900 SGD 0.8700 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.6200 SGD 0.8300 SGD 1.18 SGD 79
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2500 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.3400 SGD 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.8% (2020) → 0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1A0 screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 209 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −40.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $233.60 $162.81 −30%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $93.96 $35.83 −62%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $31.33 $34.46 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $138.28 $76.78 −44%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.48 $73.34 +3%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $199.75 $175.20 −12%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $40.80 $50.76 +24%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $158.45 $128.55 −19%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $301.81 $233.22 −23%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $37.89 $10.27 −73%

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KATRINA GROUP LTD. · Fair Value
0.0386 SGD −41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KATRINA GROUP LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1A0

Frequently asked questions

Is KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0386 SGD versus a price of 0.0650 SGD, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1A0?
Our model-based fair value for KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 0.0386 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0650 SGD.
What is the quality score of 1A0?
KATRINA GROUP LTD. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0386 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0302 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0470 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KATRINA GROUP LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0386 SGD, about −41% upside versus a price of 0.0650 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0302 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0470 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
KATRINA GROUP LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 44.4M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KATRINA GROUP LTD. it is 0.0386 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0650 SGD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KATRINA GROUP LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1A0 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.0650 SGD, fair value 0.0386 SGD, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1A0?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0650 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0386 SGD). For KATRINA GROUP LTD. the two are 0.0264 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KATRINA GROUP LTD. worth?
The market values KATRINA GROUP LTD. at about 6.5M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0650 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0386 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1A0?
Our models span a range for KATRINA GROUP LTD.: cautious scenario 0.0302 SGD, base 0.0386 SGD, optimistic 0.0470 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.0650 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Balance-sheet figures for KATRINA GROUP LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1A0 from its 52-week high?
KATRINA GROUP LTD. trades at 0.0650 SGD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 0.0860 SGD and 550% above the low of 0.0100 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0386 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KATRINA GROUP LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KATRINA GROUP LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0650 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0386 SGD (−41%), Quality Score 51/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1A0 calculated?
We run KATRINA GROUP LTD. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0386 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KATRINA GROUP LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.0650 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0386 SGD, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KATRINA GROUP LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0470 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of KATRINA GROUP LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
The market capitalisation of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 6.5M SGD (≈ $5.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Earnings per share at KATRINA GROUP LTD. are −0.0100 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
The net margin of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is −6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
The operating margin of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Revenue at KATRINA GROUP LTD. is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0)?
Earnings per share at KATRINA GROUP LTD. are growing +353% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0) generate?
The free cash flow of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 14.2M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does KATRINA GROUP LTD. (1A0) carry?
The net debt of KATRINA GROUP LTD. is 473K SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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