LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (1MC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €243B · ISIN FR0000121014
What is LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, really worth?
A solid business, but trading 49% above our fair value of €288.69.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, is €288.69 per share against a price of €429.60, so the fair value sits 33% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€366.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €426.82 – €829.91 · fair‑value band €210.66 – €366.71 · the €429.60 price screens above the €288.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (1MC) currently trades at €429.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €288.69, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €319.55 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €429.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €91.60, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. Net debt stands at €11.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €210.66 (bear case) to €366.71 (bull case); at €429.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −33%, 1MC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €6.03 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€319.55) versus Asset-Based (€91.60). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide.
Full company description
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide. It offers wine and spirit products under the Ao Yun, Ardbeg, Armand de Brignac, Belvedere, Bodega Numanthia, Chandon, Cheval des Andes, Château Cheval Blanc, Château Galoupet, Château d'Yquem, Château d'Esclans, Cloudy Bay, Colgin Cellars, Dom Pérignon, Domaine des Lambrays, Eminente, Glenmorangie, Hennessy, Joseph Phelps, Krug, Mercier, Minuty, Moët & Chandon, Newton Vineyard, Ruinart, SirDavis, Terrazas de los Andes, Veuve Clicquot, Volcan de mi Tierra, and Woodinville brands; fashion and leather products under Barton Perreira,Berluti, Celine, Christian Dior, Fendi, Givenchy, Kenzo, Loewe, Loro Piana, Louis Vuitton, Marc Jacobs, Moynat, Patou, Pucci, Rimowa, and Vuarnet brands; and perfumes and cosmetics products under the Acqua di Parma, Benefit Cosmetics, Fenty Beauty by Rihanna, Fresh, Givenchy Parfums, Guerlain, Kenzo Parfums, Loewe Perfumes, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, Make Up For Ever, OLEHENRIKSEN, Officine Universelle Buly, and Parfums Christian Dior brands. The company also provides watches and jewelry under the Bvlgari, Chaumet, DANIEL ROTH, Fred, Gérald Genta, Hublot, L'Epée 1839, Repossi, TAG Heuer, Tiffany & Co., and Zenith brands; and selective retailing under the 24S, DFS, La Grande Épicerie de Paris, Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche, Samaritaine, and Sephora brands. In addition, it offers french business and cultural publications under the Les Echos group brand; custom-designed yachts under the Feadship brand; hotels under the Cheval Blanc and Belmond brands; and other activities under the Connaissance des Arts, Cova, Investir, Jardin d'Acclimatation, Le Parisien, Paris Match, and Radio Classique brands. LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne was founded in 1365 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €79.2B in FY2022, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was €10.9B in FY2025, compounding −8.2%/yr from FY2022.
1MC screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
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