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Christian Dior SE (DIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €81.9B

CD Christian Dior SE DIO · XETRA
Price€440.00
Fair Value€502.30
Upside+14.2%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.15% dividend yield
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Medium Range €376.72 – €627.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €611.78 to €502.30 (−17.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from €376.72 (bear) to €627.87 (bull), base €502.30. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€799.41 €93.12 Fair Value €502.30 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €93.12 – €799.41 · fair‑value band €376.72 – €627.87 · the €440.00 price screens below the €502.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Christian Dior SE (DIO) currently trades at €440.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €502.30, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Christian Dior SE generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at €11.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €376.72 (bear case) to €627.87 (bull case); at €440.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 14%, DIO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €788.10 €1,072 €1,570 80
Residual Income €164.12 €216.19 €758.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF €721.30 €1,078 €1,521 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €753.74 €1,045 €1,601 38
Owner Earnings €408.91 €570.33 €878.21 31
5Y Revenue Exit €721.30 €1,060 €1,560 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €990.54 €1,523 €2,237 41
5Y P/E Exit €475.92 €638.54 €837.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit €706.89 €975.02 €1,268 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €891.76 €1,267 €1,679 37
10Y P/E Exit €578.26 €708.51 €830.79 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €170.78 €232.31 €269.30 54
EPV €687.32 €805.08 €908.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €376.72 €502.30 €627.87 63
P/S Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 58
P/B Multiple €305.89 €407.85 €509.82 55
EV/EBIT €1,249 €1,671 €2,094 53
EV/EBITDA €1,329 €1,778 €2,227 54
EV/Revenue €764.56 €1,100 €1,436 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €67.98 €91.09 €135.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €788.10 €1,072 €1,570 80
Rev-Margin DCF €721.30 €1,078 €1,521 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €164.12 €216.19 €758.51 76
ROIC Compounder €689.86 €824.46 €955.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €266.52 €380.74 €494.97 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1,072) versus Asset-Based (€91.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €80.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow €14.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.1
More key figures
Operating margin 19.8%
EPS (TTM) €25.12
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net debt €11.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It offers its fashion and leather goods under the Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Celine, Loewe, Givenchy, Kenzo, Berluti, Pucci, Loro Piana, and Rimowa brands; and wines and spirits under the Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Château d'Yquem, Belvedere, Glenmorangie, Bodega Numanthia, Château d'Esclans, Armand de Brignac, Joseph Phelps, and Château Minuty brands. The company also provides perfumes and cosmetics under the Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, Make Up For Ever, Benefit Cosmetics, Fresh, Acqua di Parma, Fenty, Ole Henriksen, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, and Officine Universelle Buly 1803 brand names; and watches and jewelry under the Tiffany, Bvlgari, TAG Heuer, Zenith, Hublot, Chaumet, Fred, L'Epée 1839, and Repossi brands. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Sephora and Le Bon Marché names; publishes Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France, a daily newspaper, Paris Match magazine, the Royal Van Lent-Feadship brand, and La Samaritaine; and operates hotel and the Cova pastry shop brand. Further, the company is involved in real estate activities. It sells its products through store network, including e-commerce websites; and agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Christian Dior SE is a subsidiary of Financière Agache Société Anonyme.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christian Dior SE reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€80.8B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.7%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €64.2B
FY22 €79.2B
FY23 €86.2B
FY24 €84.7B
FY25 €80.8B
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 €4.9B
FY22 €5.8B
FY23 €6.3B
FY24 €5.2B
FY25 €4.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christian Dior SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIO

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, LV C$11.46 C$11.05 -4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christian Dior SE (DIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €502.30 versus a price of €440.00, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DIO?
Our model-based fair value for Christian Dior SE is €502.30 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €440.00.
What is the quality score of DIO?
Christian Dior SE has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Christian Dior SE (DIO)?
Christian Dior SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €80.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DIO?
The net profit margin of Christian Dior SE is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christian Dior SE pay a dividend?
Christian Dior SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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