Christian Dior SE (DIO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €81.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €611.78 to €502.30 (−17.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from €376.72 (bear) to €627.87 (bull), base €502.30. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €93.12 – €799.41 · fair‑value band €376.72 – €627.87 · the €440.00 price screens below the €502.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Christian Dior SE (DIO) currently trades at €440.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €502.30, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Christian Dior SE generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at €11.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €376.72 (bear case) to €627.87 (bull case); at €440.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 14%, DIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1,072) versus Asset-Based (€91.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It offers its fashion and leather goods under the Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Celine, Loewe, Givenchy, Kenzo, Berluti, Pucci, Loro Piana, and Rimowa brands; and wines and spirits under the Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Château d'Yquem, Belvedere, Glenmorangie, Bodega Numanthia, Château d'Esclans, Armand de Brignac, Joseph Phelps, and Château Minuty brands. The company also provides perfumes and cosmetics under the Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, Make Up For Ever, Benefit Cosmetics, Fresh, Acqua di Parma, Fenty, Ole Henriksen, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, and Officine Universelle Buly 1803 brand names; and watches and jewelry under the Tiffany, Bvlgari, TAG Heuer, Zenith, Hublot, Chaumet, Fred, L'Epée 1839, and Repossi brands. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Sephora and Le Bon Marché names; publishes Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France, a daily newspaper, Paris Match magazine, the Royal Van Lent-Feadship brand, and La Samaritaine; and operates hotel and the Cova pastry shop brand. Further, the company is involved in real estate activities. It sells its products through store network, including e-commerce websites; and agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Christian Dior SE is a subsidiary of Financière Agache Société Anonyme.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Christian Dior SE reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
| LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, LV | C$11.46 | C$11.05 | -4% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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