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Rivian Automotive, Inc (1RIVN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €22.4B

RA Rivian Automotive, Inc 1RIVN · MI
Price€16.64
Fair Value€2.28
Upside-86.3%
Quality38/100
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Evidence: Low Range €1.71 – €3.41

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€19.49 €10.49 Fair Value €2.28 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range €10.49 – €19.49 · fair‑value band €1.71 – €3.41 · the €16.64 price screens above the €2.28 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Rivian Automotive, Inc (1RIVN) currently trades at €16.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.28 — implying the stock looks roughly 86.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rivian Automotive, Inc generated revenue of €5.5B at a net margin of -63.6%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -65.7%. Net debt stands at €861M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €5.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin -63.6%
Return on equity -65.7%
Free cash flow −€2.5B FY2025
Operating margin -63.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-2.56
Net debt €861M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. It operates through two segments, Automotive, and Software and Services. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand; and a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It also provides software and services, such as vehicle electrical architecture and software development, as well as Autonomy+, remarketing, vehicle repair and maintenance services, software subscriptions, vehicle accessories, financing, insurance, and other services. In addition, the company designs, develops, and manufactures the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers; and FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. Rivian …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rivian Automotive, Inc reported revenue of €5.4B in FY2025 versus €1.7B in FY2022, a compound +48.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€3.6B in FY2025.

Revenue +48.1%/yr
FY22 €1.7B
FY23 €4.4B
FY24 €5.0B
FY25 €5.4B
Net income
FY22 −€6.8B
FY23 −€5.4B
FY24 −€4.7B
FY25 −€3.6B

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc (1RIVN) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.28 versus a price of €16.64 — about −86% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1RIVN?
Our model-based fair value for Rivian Automotive, Inc is €2.28 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €16.64.
What is the quality score of 1RIVN?
Rivian Automotive, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Rivian Automotive, Inc (1RIVN)?
Rivian Automotive, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1RIVN?
The net profit margin of Rivian Automotive, Inc is about -63.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.