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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (200596) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap HK$28.9B

PriceHK$53.92
Fair ValueHK$160.32
Upside+197.3%
Quality91/100
Evidence: High Range HK$92.73 – HK$214.50

Analysis

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (200596) currently trades at HK$53.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$160.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 197.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of distilled wine in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company primarily offers baijiu; and engages in machinery production, advertising, research and development, sewage processing, e-commerce, food testing, and construction activities. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of glass products; provision of hotel management services; leasing of houses; and wholesale of construction materials, feeds, assistant materials, etc. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Bozhou, the People's Republic of China. Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Anhui Gujing Group Co., Ltd.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.