EMPERADOR INC. (EMI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of EMPERADOR INC. S$0.31, price S$0.39, upside -20.6%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range 0.1788 SGD – 0.4322 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2142 SGD – 0.3057 SGD · the 0.3850 SGD price screens above the 0.3057 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Emperador Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, bottling, and distributing distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages worldwide. The company operates in two segments, the Brandy and Scotch Whisky.
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Emperador Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, bottling, and distributing distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages worldwide. The company operates in two segments, the Brandy and Scotch Whisky. It offers single malt and blended scotch whiskies, liqueurs, and vodkas under The Dalmore, Jura, Tamnavulin, Fettercairn, Whyte and Mackay Blended Scotch Whisky, Woodsman Blended Scotch Whisky, Shackleton, Glayva, Invergordon, John Barr, Cluny, and Claymore brands. The company also provides brandy products under the Fundador, Terry Centenario, Terry White, Tres Cepas, Torre de Macharnudo by Harveys, and Vermut Marinero by Garvey, as well as Emperador Brandy, Emperador Light, Emperador Light Spanish Edition, Emperador Deluxe Spanish Edition, Emperador Double Light, Emperador Original, CLVB Emperador, Emperador Deluxe Special Reserve, and Emperador Grand Supreme brands. In addition, it offers sherry wine under the Harveys brand; Mexican brandies and wines under the Presidente, Presidente Light, Don Pedro, Azteca De Oro, Los Danzantes, Alipus, and Encantado brands; whisky blends under the Andy Player Whisky; flavored alcoholic beverages under The BaR brand; distilled spirits under the So Nice brand; and ready-to-drink beverages under the Smirnoff Mule brand. Further, the company provides Light Blended Spirits under the Charles & James Light brand; rums under the Cazabana brand; shoestring potato snacks under the Pik-Nik brand; Gallo wines; and drinks under the Chaser Sparkling Apple Iced Tea brand. It distributes its products through sales offices and distribution outlets to hypermarkets, supermarkets, wholesalers, traders, groceries, convenience stores, discounters, proximity stores, and neighborhood sari-sari stores. The company is headquartered in Quezon City, the Philippines. Emperador Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Alliance Global Group, Inc.
Stock analysis
EMPERADOR INC. (EMI) currently trades at 0.3850 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3057 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 1.62 SGD per share, and 18 of the 18 models we run sit above the 0.3850 SGD price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 1.56 SGD, and 0 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2142 SGD (bear) to 0.3057 SGD (bull), the price of 0.3850 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
EMPERADOR INC. reported revenue of 56.2B PHP in FY2025 versus 54.8B PHP in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B PHP in FY2025, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.0B SGD (≈ $4.7B) · P/E ratio 38.5 · P/S ratio 2.64 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 20.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −21%, EMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2142 SGDFair Value 0.3057 SGDBull 0.3057 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−13.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 12%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EMPERADOR INC. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMI
Frequently asked questions
Is EMPERADOR INC. (EMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3057 SGD versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 0.3850 SGD, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMI?
Our model-based fair value for EMPERADOR INC. is 0.3057 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): 0.3850 SGD.
What is the quality score of EMI?
EMPERADOR INC. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3057 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2142 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.3057 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EMPERADOR INC. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3057 SGD, about −21% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 0.3850 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2142 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.3057 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
EMPERADOR INC. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 57.2B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EMPERADOR INC. it is 0.3057 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.3850 SGD. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EMPERADOR INC. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EMI trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3850 SGD, fair value 0.3057 SGD, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3850 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3057 SGD). For EMPERADOR INC. the two are 0.0793 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EMPERADOR INC. worth?
The market values EMPERADOR INC. at about 6.0B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.3850 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3057 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMI?
Our models span a range for EMPERADOR INC.: cautious scenario 0.2142 SGD, base 0.3057 SGD, optimistic 0.3057 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.3850 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EMI?
EMPERADOR INC. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3057 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 5.2, EV/EBITDA 35.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Balance-sheet figures for EMPERADOR INC. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMI from its 52-week high?
EMPERADOR INC. trades at 0.3850 SGD, about 1% below its 52-week high of 0.3900 SGD and 13% above the low of 0.3400 SGD (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3057 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EMPERADOR INC.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Luzhou Laojiao Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EMPERADOR INC. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.3850 SGD, calculated fair value 0.3057 SGD (−21%), Quality Score 47/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EMI calculated?
We run EMPERADOR INC. through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3057 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. EMPERADOR INC. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at 0.3850 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.3057 SGD, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EMPERADOR INC. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3057 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of EMPERADOR INC.
How large is the market capitalisation of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The market capitalisation of EMPERADOR INC. is 6.0B SGD (≈ $4.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EMPERADOR INC. is 2.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Earnings per share at EMPERADOR INC. are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The net margin of EMPERADOR INC. is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EMPERADOR INC. is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EMPERADOR INC. is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
The operating margin of EMPERADOR INC. is 20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Revenue at EMPERADOR INC. is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EMPERADOR INC. (EMI)?
Earnings per share at EMPERADOR INC. are growing +9.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EMPERADOR INC. (EMI) generate?
The free cash flow of EMPERADOR INC. is 268M PHP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does EMPERADOR INC. (EMI) carry?
The net debt of EMPERADOR INC. is 31.9B PHP (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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