National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what National Gas & Industrialization Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 23.29 SAR – 112.11 SAR · fair‑value band 22.59 SAR – 51.62 SAR · the 61.95 SAR price screens above the 34.23 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
National Gas and Industrialization Company engages in exploits, manufactures, and markets various kinds of gas and its derivatives, and industrial gases in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.
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National Gas and Industrialization Company engages in exploits, manufactures, and markets various kinds of gas and its derivatives, and industrial gases in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It manufactures, sells, and maintains cages, cylinders, tanks, and accessories; maintenance of gas networks and accessories; and manufactures, transports, and markets petroleum, chemical, and petrochemical and glass products. The company also establishes or participates in the production of energy, water treatment, and environmental services. In addition, it is involved in the establishment, building, and maintenance of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) networks and tanks; and development of LPG products and solutions. Further, the company offers technical and engineering consulting services, and training related to gas and energy works; and acquires and invests in real estate, as well as purchases land for the construction of buildings for lease and sale. The company was founded in 1961 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) currently trades at 61.95 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.23 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 51.57 SAR per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the 61.95 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 17.58 SAR, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 22.59 SAR (bear) to 51.62 SAR (bull), the price of 61.95 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
National Gas & Industrialization Co reported revenue of 3.3B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.9B SAR in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 249M SAR in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B SAR (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) 3.59 SAR · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −45%, 2080 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 22.59 SARFair Value 34.23 SARBull 51.62 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9224 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare National Gas & Industrialization Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 53 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.3× · Pricier than median
P/B0.65× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.38× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF9.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA4.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)75· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)52· sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)74· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "National Gas & Industrialization Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2080
Frequently asked questions
Is National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34.23 SAR versus a price of 61.95 SAR, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2080?
Our model-based fair value for National Gas & Industrialization Co is 34.23 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 61.95 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2080?
National Gas & Industrialization Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34.23 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.59 SAR, optimistic scenario 51.62 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the National Gas & Industrialization Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34.23 SAR, about −45% upside versus a price of 61.95 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 22.59 SAR, optimistic scenario 51.62 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
National Gas & Industrialization Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does National Gas & Industrialization Co pay a dividend?
National Gas & Industrialization Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, National Gas & Industrialization Co would have to grow free cash flow by +21.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2080 use?
Our models discount National Gas & Industrialization Co at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For National Gas & Industrialization Co that is +21.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at National Gas & Industrialization Co grew +10.7 % a year. The price currently implies +21.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into National Gas & Industrialization Co (+21.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.82 %: that much free cash flow National Gas & Industrialization Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For National Gas & Industrialization Co it is 34.23 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 61.95 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is National Gas & Industrialization Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 2080 trades above its calculated fair value: price 61.95 SAR, fair value 34.23 SAR, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2080?
No. The price is what the market pays today (61.95 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34.23 SAR). For National Gas & Industrialization Co the two are 27.72 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is National Gas & Industrialization Co worth?
The market values National Gas & Industrialization Co at about 4.6B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 61.95 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 34.23 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2080?
Our models span a range for National Gas & Industrialization Co: cautious scenario 22.59 SAR, base 34.23 SAR, optimistic 51.62 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 61.95 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2080?
National Gas & Industrialization Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 34.23 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Balance-sheet figures for National Gas & Industrialization Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 13.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2080 from its 52-week high?
National Gas & Industrialization Co trades at 61.95 SAR, about 34% below its 52-week high of 94.28 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34.23 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to National Gas & Industrialization Co?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, Shell plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is National Gas & Industrialization Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 61.95 SAR, calculated fair value 34.23 SAR (−45%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2080 calculated?
We run National Gas & Industrialization Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34.23 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5 % above its aggregate fair value. National Gas & Industrialization Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was 61.95 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 34.23 SAR, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with National Gas & Industrialization Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (51.62 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (22.59 SAR to 51.62 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) come from?
Earnings per share at National Gas & Industrialization Co grew +5.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin −3.6 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of National Gas & Industrialization Co
How large is the market capitalisation of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The market capitalisation of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 4.6B SAR (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The price-to-sales ratio of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 1.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Earnings per share at National Gas & Industrialization Co are 3.59 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The dividend yield of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 3.7% (payout 64.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The net margin of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The return on equity (ROE) of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
The operating margin of National Gas & Industrialization Co is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Revenue at National Gas & Industrialization Co is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080)?
Earnings per share at National Gas & Industrialization Co are growing +32.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does National Gas & Industrialization Co (2080) hold?
National Gas & Industrialization Co holds more cash than debt, 45.4M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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