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Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co (2105) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 109B TWD

CS Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co 2105 · TW
Price31.40 TWD
Fair Value32.82 TWD
Upside+4.5%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 24.61 TWD – 41.02 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 24.61 TWD (bear) to 41.02 TWD (bull), base 32.82 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

61.80 TWD 28.20 TWD Fair Value 32.82 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28.20 TWD – 61.80 TWD · fair‑value band 24.61 TWD – 41.02 TWD · the 31.40 TWD price screens below the 32.82 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co (2105) currently trades at 31.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.82 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co generated revenue of 91.0B TWD at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at 15.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 24.61 TWD (bear case) to 41.02 TWD (bull case); at 31.40 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2105 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 32.65 TWD 44.04 TWD 64.84 TWD 80
Residual Income 21.13 TWD 21.84 TWD 21.82 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 22.16 TWD 31.63 TWD 43.94 TWD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 31.32 TWD 42.94 TWD 66.13 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 30.36 TWD 41.65 TWD 64.17 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 22.16 TWD 30.94 TWD 44.12 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 33.96 TWD 50.97 TWD 74.14 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.82 TWD 33.77 TWD 46.08 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 24.87 TWD 33.05 TWD 42.13 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 32.66 TWD 46.27 TWD 61.62 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 26.44 TWD 34.91 TWD 43.41 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.14 TWD 16.77 TWD 20.35 TWD 54
EPV 13.18 TWD 15.70 TWD 17.90 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 22.04 TWD 27.07 TWD 32.41 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 22.04 TWD 29.48 TWD 38.70 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 24.61 TWD 32.82 TWD 41.02 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 19.02 TWD 25.36 TWD 31.70 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 19.02 TWD 25.36 TWD 31.70 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 27.85 TWD 37.79 TWD 47.72 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 41.51 TWD 56.00 TWD 70.48 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 18.14 TWD 26.75 TWD 35.36 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.42 TWD 17.98 TWD 26.83 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 32.65 TWD 44.04 TWD 64.84 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 22.16 TWD 31.63 TWD 43.94 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.13 TWD 21.84 TWD 21.82 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 13.18 TWD 15.70 TWD 17.90 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 17.35 TWD 24.79 TWD 32.22 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (34.91 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (15.70 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 91.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.1%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 10.7B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 22.7
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) 1.50 TWD
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.3%
Net debt 15.6B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co., Ltd., together with subsidiaries, processes, manufactures, and trades in bicycle and electrical vehicle tires, reclaimed rubbers, rubbers and resins, and other rubber products. It also manufactures and trades in various rubber products and related rubber machinery.

Full company description

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co., Ltd., together with subsidiaries, processes, manufactures, and trades in bicycle and electrical vehicle tires, reclaimed rubbers, rubbers and resins, and other rubber products. It also manufactures and trades in various rubber products and related rubber machinery. In addition, the company researches, develops, tests, manufactures, exhibits, imports, exports, wholesales, and retails various tires, automobile accessories, and related products. Further, it operates a technical center; produces, sells, and maintains models; retails accessories for rubber tires; provides container transportation, warehouse logistic, and after-sales service center services; and manages racing tracks. Additionally, the company is involved in the construction and trading of employees' housings; and trading of vehicles parts and accessories. Further its sells its products online through website. It operates in Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally. Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co reported revenue of 90.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 102B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding −2.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
90.8B TWD
Latest YoY
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+7.4%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 102B TWD
FY22 98.6B TWD
FY23 96.2B TWD
FY24 96.2B TWD
FY25 90.8B TWD
Net income −2.1%/yr
FY21 5.3B TWD
FY22 5.0B TWD
FY23 7.2B TWD
FY24 8.0B TWD
FY25 4.8B TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2105

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.47× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 17
FUTURE 6 · sector 23
PAST 25 · sector 26
HEALTH 84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co (2105) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.82 TWD versus a price of 31.40 TWD, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2105?
Our model-based fair value for Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co is 32.82 TWD (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 31.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2105?
Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co (2105)?
Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 91.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2105?
The net profit margin of Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co pay a dividend?
Cheng Shin Rubber Ind. Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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