Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co (2109) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 4.1B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 49% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (16.31 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.73 TWD – 22.70 TWD · fair‑value band 16.31 TWD – 27.18 TWD · the 14.60 TWD price screens below the 21.75 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co (2109) currently trades at 14.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.75 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co generated revenue of 4.3B TWD at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 983M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.31 TWD (bear case) to 27.18 TWD (bull case); at 14.60 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 49%, 2109 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (30.74 TWD) versus Asset-Based (8.40 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufacture, process, sells, imports, and exports rubber and plastic products in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.
Full company description
Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufacture, process, sells, imports, and exports rubber and plastic products in Taiwan, China, the United States, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers tires and tubes for bicycles, trucks, and buses; motorcycles, scooters, and mopeds; all-terrain vehicles; passenger cars, sport utility vehicles, pick-ups, light trucks, and special trailers; forklifts and skid-steers; mobile homes; and wheelchairs, as well as commercial, winter, MX off-road/trail, eco, industrial, logistics, agricultural, lawn and garden, golf carts, karts, snow blower, and powersports applications. Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hwa Fong Rubber Industrial Co reported revenue of 4.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 5.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 325M TWD in FY2025, compounding −12.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −3.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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