Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Saudi Industrial Investment Group SAR 5.74, price SAR 11.71, upside -51.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.40 SAR – 38.73 SAR · fair‑value band 3.22 SAR – 10.18 SAR · the 11.71 SAR price screens above the 5.74 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Saudi Industrial Investment Group operates as a petrochemical company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Polymers and Aromatics.
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Saudi Industrial Investment Group operates as a petrochemical company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Polymers and Aromatics. The company engages in the establishment and development, operation and management, and maintenance of petrochemical factories, gas, petroleum, and other plants; and wholesale and retail trade in material and petrochemical products and its derivatives. It also produces and sells liquid fuels, propylene, basic organic chemicals, primary gases, and gaseous fuels; and motor fuel blend stock, fuel oil, ethylene, propylene, 1-hexene, and high and low-density polyethylene and polypropylene. In addition, the company distributes aromatic products, such as styrene, cyclohexane, propane, and benzene, as well as offers polymer and monomer products and warehousing services. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) currently trades at 11.71 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.74 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 104.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 8.48 SAR per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the 11.71 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.35 SAR, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.22 SAR (bear) to 10.18 SAR (bull), the price of 11.71 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Saudi Industrial Investment Group reported revenue of 0 SAR in FY2025 versus 0 SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −104M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 8.6B SAR (≈ $2.3B) · P/E ratio 55.8 · EPS (TTM) 0.2100 SAR · Dividend yield 1.9% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Revenue (TTM) 76.7M SAR · Revenue growth (YoY) −81.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −51%, 2250 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.22 SARFair Value 5.74 SARBull 10.18 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1542 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.7/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.7% (2014) → 20.6% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.4% a year for the price.
Compare Saudi Industrial Investment Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−52% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−82% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)55.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)27.90× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF9.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)6· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)39· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Industrial Investment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2250
Frequently asked questions
Is Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.74 SAR versus a price of 11.71 SAR, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2250?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Industrial Investment Group is 5.74 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.71 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2250?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.74 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.22 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.18 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudi Industrial Investment Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.74 SAR, about −51% upside versus a price of 11.71 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.22 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.18 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 76.7M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Saudi Industrial Investment Group pay a dividend?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Saudi Industrial Investment Group would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2250 use?
Our models discount Saudi Industrial Investment Group at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Saudi Industrial Investment Group that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Saudi Industrial Investment Group grew -3.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Saudi Industrial Investment Group (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.86 %: that much free cash flow Saudi Industrial Investment Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saudi Industrial Investment Group it is 5.74 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 11.71 SAR. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Saudi Industrial Investment Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2250 trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.71 SAR, fair value 5.74 SAR, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2250?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.71 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.74 SAR). For Saudi Industrial Investment Group the two are 5.97 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saudi Industrial Investment Group worth?
The market values Saudi Industrial Investment Group at about 8.6B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 11.71 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 5.74 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2250?
Our models span a range for Saudi Industrial Investment Group: cautious scenario 3.22 SAR, base 5.74 SAR, optimistic 10.18 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 11.71 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2250?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.74 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 27.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saudi Industrial Investment Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2250 from its 52-week high?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group trades at 11.71 SAR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 19.11 SAR and 3% above the low of 11.40 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.74 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saudi Industrial Investment Group?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saudi Industrial Investment Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 11.71 SAR, calculated fair value 5.74 SAR (−51%), Quality Score 60/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2250 calculated?
We run Saudi Industrial Investment Group through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.74 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Saudi Industrial Investment Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 11.71 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 5.74 SAR, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saudi Industrial Investment Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.18 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (3.22 SAR to 10.18 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Saudi Industrial Investment Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
The market capitalisation of Saudi Industrial Investment Group is 8.6B SAR (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Industrial Investment Group are 0.2100 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
The dividend yield of Saudi Industrial Investment Group is 1.9% (payout 108%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saudi Industrial Investment Group is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saudi Industrial Investment Group is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Revenue at Saudi Industrial Investment Group is growing −81.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Industrial Investment Group are growing +13.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) hold?
Saudi Industrial Investment Group holds more cash than debt, 400M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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