Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 8.6B SAR

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.22 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The model range is unusually wide (1.61 SAR to 5.22 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.90 SAR – 38.73 SAR · fair‑value band 1.61 SAR – 5.22 SAR · the 12.68 SAR price screens above the 2.87 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Saudi Industrial Investment Group (2250) currently trades at 12.68 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 76.7M SAR. Revenue declined 81.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 400M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.61 SAR (bear case) to 5.22 SAR (bull case); at 12.68 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -77%, 2250 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (8.48 SAR) versus Dividend Discount (2.35 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Saudi Industrial Investment Group operates as a petrochemical company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Polymers and Aromatics.

Full company description

Saudi Industrial Investment Group operates as a petrochemical company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, rest of the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Polymers and Aromatics. The company engages in the establishment and development, operation and management, and maintenance of petrochemical factories, gas, petroleum, and other plants; and wholesale and retail trade in material and petrochemical products and its derivatives. It also produces and sells liquid fuels, propylene, basic organic chemicals, primary gases, and gaseous fuels; and motor fuel blend stock, fuel oil, ethylene, propylene, 1-hexene, and high and low-density polyethylene and polypropylene. In addition, the company distributes aromatic products, such as styrene, cyclohexane, propane, and benzene, as well as offers polymer and monomer products and warehousing services. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saudi Industrial Investment Group reported revenue of 0 SAR in FY2025 versus 0 SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −104M SAR in FY2025.

2250 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 729 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.