Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company (2300) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 2.5B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price +22.6% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (35.80 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (19.27 SAR to 35.80 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 48.08 SAR – 69.00 SAR · fair‑value band 19.27 SAR – 35.80 SAR · the 69.00 SAR price screens above the 27.54 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company (2300) currently trades at 69.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.54 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company generated revenue of 873M SAR at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. Net debt stands at 528M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 19.27 SAR (bear case) to 35.80 SAR (bull case); at 69.00 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -60%, 2300 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, manufacture, and distribution of paper pulp and tissue paper products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally. It operates in Manufacturing; and Trading and Others segments.
Full company description
Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, manufacture, and distribution of paper pulp and tissue paper products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally. It operates in Manufacturing; and Trading and Others segments. The company offers facial tissues, kitchen towels, maxi rolls, toilet paper, interfold towels, table napkins, interfolds, underpads, pocket tissues, napkins, and industrial tissue products under the Mouchoir, Excellence, City, SPC Pro, and Jumbo Roll brands. It is also involved in the collection, sorting, pressing, and transportation of wastepaper; destruction and shredding of archives and confidential documents; sorting and classifying; packaging; and environmental protection services. Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company was founded in 1989 and is based in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company reported revenue of 850M SAR in FY2025 versus 589M SAR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 60.5M SAR in FY2025, compounding +18.9%/yr from FY2021.
Is 2300 fairly valued? → Check now
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$16.86 | R$2.95 | -83% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF | $29.33 | $17.60 | -40% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$42.04 | R$137.84 | +228% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAA | kr 101.50 | kr 45.12 | -56% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥12.75 | ¥17.29 | +36% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $28.52 | -20% |
| Mondi plc MNODF | $9.70 | $9.16 | -6% |
| Oji Holdings OJIPY | $55.39 | $66.13 | +19% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.04 | HK$8.99 | +28% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,043 CLP | 1,263 CLP | +21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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