Xd Inc (2400) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Xd Inc HK$71.65, price HK$39.66, upside +80.7%, quality 85 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$7.52 – HK$91.80 · fair‑value band HK$46.42 – HK$112.94 · the HK$39.66 price screens below the HK$71.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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XD Inc., an investment holding company, develops, publishes, operates, and distributes mobile and web games in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Games and TapTap platform segments.
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XD Inc., an investment holding company, develops, publishes, operates, and distributes mobile and web games in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Games and TapTap platform segments. The company operates TapTap, a game community and platform that provides online marketing services to game developers, and game publishers or their agents, as well as provides information services. Its game portfolio comprises online games and premium games. In addition, the company is involved in the catering business and invests in game development entities. XD Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Xd Inc (2400) currently trades at HK$39.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$71.65, implying the stock looks roughly 44.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$100.41 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$39.66 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$39.38, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$46.42 (bear) to HK$112.94 (bull), the price of HK$39.66 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Xd Inc reported revenue of 5.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +20.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$19.7B (≈ $2.5B) · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 3.01 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 26.6% · Return on equity 42.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 25.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 81%, 2400 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$46.42Fair Value HK$71.65Bull HK$112.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+38.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.37.4% vs 48.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 29%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.9% a year for the price and +8.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 135 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xd Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2400
Frequently asked questions
Is Xd Inc (2400) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$71.65 versus a price of HK$39.66, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2400?
Our model-based fair value for Xd Inc is HK$71.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$39.66.
What is the quality score of 2400?
Xd Inc has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xd Inc (2400)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$71.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$46.42, optimistic scenario HK$112.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xd Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$71.65, about +81% upside versus a price of HK$39.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$46.42, optimistic scenario HK$112.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xd Inc (2400)?
Xd Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Xd Inc pay a dividend?
Xd Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xd Inc (2400)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xd Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.2 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2400 use?
Our models discount Xd Inc at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.73, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xd Inc that is +0.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xd Inc (2400) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xd Inc grew +15.2 % a year. The price currently implies +0.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xd Inc (2400) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xd Inc (+0.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xd Inc (2400)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.24 %: that much free cash flow Xd Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xd Inc (2400)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xd Inc it is HK$71.65 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of HK$39.66. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xd Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 2400 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$39.66, fair value HK$71.65, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2400?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$39.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$71.65). For Xd Inc the two are HK$31.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xd Inc worth?
The market values Xd Inc at about HK$19.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$39.66; our models calculate a fair value of HK$71.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2400?
Our models span a range for Xd Inc: cautious scenario HK$46.42, base HK$71.65, optimistic HK$112.94 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price HK$39.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2400?
Xd Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$71.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 4.4, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 2400?
The PEG ratio of Xd Inc is 1.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xd Inc (2400)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xd Inc (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 42.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2400 from its 52-week high?
Xd Inc trades at HK$39.66, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$91.80 and 6% above the low of HK$37.28 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$71.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xd Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xd Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price HK$39.66, calculated fair value HK$71.65 (+81%), Quality Score 85/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2400 calculated?
We run Xd Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$71.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Xd Inc currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xd Inc (2400)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$39.66. Our model-based fair value is HK$71.65, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xd Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (85/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$46.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (HK$46.42 to HK$112.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Xd Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Xd Inc (2400)?
The market capitalisation of Xd Inc is HK$19.7B (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xd Inc (2400)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xd Inc is 3.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Xd Inc (2400)?
The dividend yield of Xd Inc is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xd Inc (2400)?
The net margin of Xd Inc is 26.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xd Inc (2400)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xd Inc is 42.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xd Inc (2400)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xd Inc is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xd Inc (2400)?
The operating margin of Xd Inc is 25.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xd Inc (2400)?
Revenue at Xd Inc is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xd Inc (2400)?
Earnings per share at Xd Inc are growing −6.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Xd Inc (2400) hold?
Xd Inc holds more cash than debt, 3.6B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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