Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Minieye Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range HK$2.06 – HK$37.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.3200 – HK$0.6000 · the HK$2.06 price screens above the HK$0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Minieye Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent driving products, intelligent cabins, driverless vehicles and solutions in the People's Republic of China.
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Minieye Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent driving products, intelligent cabins, driverless vehicles and solutions in the People's Republic of China. The company offers iPilot solutions that delivers advanced intelligent driving functions, including navigate on autopilot, home-zone parking assist, and automatic parking assist; and iSafety solutions, which enable intelligent driving from L0 to L2, which are designed to be adaptable to mainstream system-on-chip platforms and to realize intelligent driving functions based on electronic control units (ECUs) with low computing power consumption which focuses on improving vehicle safety. It also provides intelligent cabin solutions comprising driver monitoring systems, occupant monitoring system, multimodal interaction, and other solutions; and vehicle infrastructure cooperative systems for intelligent transportation infrastructure and smart cities. In addition, the company is involved in sale of spare parts; manufacturing and assembly of products; investment activities. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Youjia Innov Tech Co., Ltd. Minieye Technology Co., Ltd was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) currently trades at HK$2.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4800, implying the stock looks roughly 328.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3200 (bear) to HK$0.6000 (bull), the price of HK$2.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Minieye Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 759M CNY in FY2025 versus 175M CNY in FY2021, a compound +44.3%/yr. Reported net income was −400M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$3.6B (≈ $462M) · P/S ratio 4.77 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.3800 · Net margin −52.7% · Return on equity −36.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.7% · Operating margin −59.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$759M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −77%, 2431 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3200Fair Value HK$0.4800Bull HK$0.6000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.0% (2021) → −54.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Minieye Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 378 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−59% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.61× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 48
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minieye Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2431
Frequently asked questions
Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4800 versus a price of HK$2.06, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2431?
Our model-based fair value for Minieye Technology Co Ltd is HK$0.4800 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.06.
What is the quality score of 2431?
Minieye Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4800 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3200, optimistic scenario HK$0.6000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4800, about −77% upside versus a price of HK$2.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3200, optimistic scenario HK$0.6000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Minieye Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$759M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minieye Technology Co Ltd it is HK$0.4800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$2.06. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 2431 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$2.06, fair value HK$0.4800, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2431?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4800). For Minieye Technology Co Ltd the two are HK$1.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minieye Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Minieye Technology Co Ltd at about HK$3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.06; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2431?
Our models span a range for Minieye Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3200, base HK$0.4800, optimistic HK$0.6000 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$2.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minieye Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −36.7%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Minieye Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$2.06, calculated fair value HK$0.4800 (−77%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2431 calculated?
We run Minieye Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Minieye Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was HK$2.06. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4800, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minieye Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3200 to HK$0.6000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Minieye Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The market capitalisation of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is HK$3.6B (≈ $462M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is 4.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Earnings per share at Minieye Technology Co Ltd are HK$−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The net margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −52.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −36.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −19.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The operating margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −59.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Revenue at Minieye Technology Co Ltd is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) generate?
The free cash flow of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −HK$573M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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