Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd stock TWD 40.90, price TWD 20.50, upside +99.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.05 TWD – 41.55 TWD · fair‑value band 25.75 TWD – 51.13 TWD · the 20.50 TWD price screens below the 40.90 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Cathay Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in Taiwan and internationally. It operates in two segments, Investment and Development of Real Estate, and Construction.
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The company constructs residential and commercial buildings for rental and sale.
It is also involved in healthcare management and related services; real estate management; hotel brand development, construction, and operation; building rental; turnkey contracting and construction management for various construction projects, including luxury residences, office buildings, shopping malls, hotels, and hospitals; and property management, such as cleaning services, parking lot, property management consultant, facility maintenance, and interior design and remodeling.
The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) currently trades at 20.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.90 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 77.26 TWD per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the 20.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 14.51 TWD, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 25.75 TWD (bear) to 51.13 TWD (bull), the price of 20.50 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 24.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 12.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B TWD in FY2025, compounding +40.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 27.3B TWD (≈ $832M) Small · P/E ratio 7.1 · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) 2.88 TWD · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 12.2% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 100%, 2501 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear25.75 TWDFair Value 40.90 TWDBull51.13 TWD
Price 20.50 TWD · Upside +99.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.44 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF47.68 TWD78.10 TWD123.45 TWD79
Growth DCF47.55 TWD75.76 TWD116.20 TWD77
Residual Income22.85 TWD25.23 TWD31.18 TWD76
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF47.68 TWD78.10 TWD123.45 TWD79
5Y Revenue Exit35.25 TWD57.35 TWD85.89 TWD72
5Y EBITDA Exit48.49 TWD83.43 TWD125.53 TWD74
10Y Revenue Exit38.51 TWD59.71 TWD89.27 TWD66
10Y EBITDA Exit47.57 TWD77.26 TWD119.19 TWD67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM8.15 TWD15.33 TWD21.91 TWD67
DDM Multi-Stage8.15 TWD13.69 TWD16.30 TWD67
Multiples
P/S Multiple36.09 TWD48.12 TWD60.15 TWD58
P/B Multiple17.99 TWD23.99 TWD29.98 TWD55
EV/EBIT31.17 TWD50.82 TWD70.47 TWD64
EV/EBITDA30.29 TWD49.65 TWD69.01 TWD66
EV/Revenue4.73 TWD18.66 TWD32.60 TWD49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)2.43 TWD3.69 TWD4.61 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF47.55 TWD75.76 TWD116.20 TWD77
Rev-Margin DCF35.25 TWD57.47 TWD84.83 TWD72
Economic Profit
Residual Income22.85 TWD25.23 TWD31.18 TWD76
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+28.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.9% vs 3.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 17%
2025 sits 107% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.0% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (26 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+99.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)12.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−47.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)7.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.00× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)5.3× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2501
Frequently asked questions
Is Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.90 TWD versus a price of 20.50 TWD, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2501?
Our model-based fair value for Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 40.90 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2501?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.90 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 25.75 TWD, optimistic scenario 51.13 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.90 TWD, about +100% upside versus a price of 20.50 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 25.75 TWD, optimistic scenario 51.13 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.85% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd pays a dividend of 1.20 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 14, 2026. The payout ratio is 41.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.72 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -2.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.7 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2501 use?
Our models discount Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd that is -2.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd grew +11.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -2.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (-2.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.97 %: that much free cash flow Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd it is 40.90 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 20.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 2501 trades below its calculated fair value: price 20.50 TWD, fair value 40.90 TWD, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2501?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.90 TWD). For Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd the two are 20.40 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd at about 27.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 20.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 40.90 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2501?
Our models span a range for Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario 25.75 TWD, base 40.90 TWD, optimistic 51.13 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 20.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2501?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 40.90 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 13.9. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.9, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 2501?
The PEG ratio of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 0.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2501 from its 52-week high?
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd trades at 20.50 TWD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 27.00 TWD and 4% above the low of 19.80 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.90 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 20.50 TWD, calculated fair value 40.90 TWD (+100%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2501 calculated?
We run Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 40.90 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 20.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 40.90 TWD, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (25.75 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (25.75 TWD to 51.13 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) come from?
Earnings per share at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd grew −0.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.7 %, EBIT margin −5.0 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The market capitalisation of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 27.3B TWD (≈ $832M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Earnings per share at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd are 2.88 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The dividend yield of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 5.9% (payout 41.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The net margin of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 12.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
The operating margin of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Revenue at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is growing −47.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501)?
Earnings per share at Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd are growing −81.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd (2501) carry?
The net debt of Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd is 32.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026