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SEMCNS Co (252990) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · KR · Market cap 822B KRW

SC SEMCNS Co 252990 · KQ
Price14,320 KRW
Fair Value1,559 KRW
Upside-89.1%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 24.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range 1,247 KRW – 1,948 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 1,640 KRW to 1,559 KRW (−5.0%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +31.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,948 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

16,320 KRW 3,520 KRW Fair Value 1,559 KRW May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3,520 KRW – 16,320 KRW · fair‑value band 1,247 KRW – 1,948 KRW · the 14,320 KRW price screens above the 1,559 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

SEMCNS Co (252990) currently trades at 14,320 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,559 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 89.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SEMCNS Co generated revenue of 89.4B KRW at a net margin of 24.3%. Revenue grew 72.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 69.5B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,247 KRW (bear case) to 1,948 KRW (bull case); at 14,320 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 237% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -89%, 252990 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2,190 KRW 5,209 KRW 10,279 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,224 KRW 2,540 KRW 5,263 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 1,490 KRW 1,857 KRW 2,184 KRW 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,360 KRW 4,169 KRW 10,085 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 2,996 KRW 7,819 KRW 18,397 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,081 KRW 2,143 KRW 4,352 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,444 KRW 2,878 KRW 5,684 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 2,213 KRW 5,695 KRW 10,442 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,421 KRW 3,461 KRW 4,639 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,744 KRW 4,261 KRW 8,535 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 2,318 KRW 5,956 KRW 11,947 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,706 KRW 11,898 KRW 16,697 KRW 54
Lynch FV 5,667 KRW 8,096 KRW 10,525 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 5,667 KRW 8,096 KRW 10,525 KRW 46
EPV 1,490 KRW 1,857 KRW 2,184 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,634 KRW 3,512 KRW 4,391 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,169 KRW 1,559 KRW 1,948 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 3,199 KRW 4,265 KRW 5,331 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 1,238 KRW 1,848 KRW 2,459 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 1,045 KRW 1,591 KRW 2,138 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 496.73 KRW 964.34 KRW 1,432 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,387 KRW 1,858 KRW 2,774 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,190 KRW 5,209 KRW 10,279 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,224 KRW 2,540 KRW 5,263 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,415 KRW 2,657 KRW 4,123 KRW 61
ROIC Compounder 1,490 KRW 1,857 KRW 2,184 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6,719 KRW 9,598 KRW 12,478 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (9,598 KRW) versus Multiples (1,591 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 89.4B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +72.5%
Net margin 24.3%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 9.9B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 28.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +520%
Net debt 69.5B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SEMCNS Co., Ltd. provides ceramic substrates for probe cards. It offers space transformers used in RF modules, electronic devices, semiconductor probe cards, and military devices. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SEMCNS Co reported revenue of 78.0B KRW in FY2025 versus 47.6B KRW in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was 15.1B KRW in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
78.0B KRW
Latest YoY
+46.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+17.6%
Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 47.6B KRW
FY22 50.1B KRW
FY23 30.9B KRW
FY24 53.3B KRW
FY25 78.0B KRW
Net income +6.0%/yr
FY21 11.9B KRW
FY22 15.1B KRW
FY23 −1.3B KRW
FY24 3.3B KRW
FY25 15.1B KRW

252990 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SEMCNS Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/252990

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 73% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 53 · sector 24
HEALTH 87 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$52.57 C$7.50 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SEMCNS Co (252990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,559 KRW versus a price of 14,320 KRW, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 252990?
Our model-based fair value for SEMCNS Co is 1,559 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14,320 KRW.
What is the quality score of 252990?
SEMCNS Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SEMCNS Co (252990)?
SEMCNS Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 89.4B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 252990?
The net profit margin of SEMCNS Co is about 24.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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