SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. KRW 9,412, price KRW 17,930, upside -47.5%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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SEMCNS Co., Ltd. provides ceramic substrates for probe cards. It offers space transformers used in RF modules, electronic devices, semiconductor probe cards, and military devices. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) currently trades at 17,930 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,412 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 90.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 11,910 KRW per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 17,930 KRW price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 1,300 KRW, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 3,412 KRW (bear) to 12,343 KRW (bull), the price of 17,930 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
SEMCNS Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 78.0B KRW in FY2025 versus 47.6B KRW in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was 15.1B KRW in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0T KRW (≈ $716M) · P/S ratio 9.19 · Net margin 19.3% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 28.3% · Revenue (TTM) 89.4B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) +72.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −48%, 252990 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3,412 KRWFair Value 9,412 KRWBull 12,343 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 19%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 340 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−48% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth73% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 64
PAST (return on equity)53· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,412 KRW versus a price of 17,930 KRW, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 252990?
Our model-based fair value for SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 9,412 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17,930 KRW.
What is the quality score of 252990?
SEMCNS Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9,412 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3,412 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,343 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SEMCNS Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9,412 KRW, about −48% upside versus a price of 17,930 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3,412 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,343 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
SEMCNS Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 89.4B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SEMCNS Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +53.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 252990 use?
Our models discount SEMCNS Co. Ltd. at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.62, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SEMCNS Co. Ltd. that is +53.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SEMCNS Co. Ltd. grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +53.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (+53.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.97 %: that much free cash flow SEMCNS Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SEMCNS Co. Ltd. it is 9,412 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 17,930 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SEMCNS Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 252990 trades above its calculated fair value: price 17,930 KRW, fair value 9,412 KRW, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 252990?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17,930 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9,412 KRW). For SEMCNS Co. Ltd. the two are 8,518 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SEMCNS Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values SEMCNS Co. Ltd. at about 1.0T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 17,930 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 9,412 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 252990?
Our models span a range for SEMCNS Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario 3,412 KRW, base 9,412 KRW, optimistic 12,343 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 17,930 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
Balance-sheet figures for SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 252990 from its 52-week high?
SEMCNS Co. Ltd. trades at 17,930 KRW, about 1% below its 52-week high of 18,090 KRW and 186% above the low of 6,260 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9,412 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SEMCNS Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SEMCNS Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 17,930 KRW, calculated fair value 9,412 KRW (−48%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 252990 calculated?
We run SEMCNS Co. Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9,412 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SEMCNS Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 17,930 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 9,412 KRW, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SEMCNS Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12,343 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (3,412 KRW to 12,343 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of SEMCNS Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The market capitalisation of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 1.0T KRW (≈ $716M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 9.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The net margin of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 19.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
The operating margin of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 28.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
Revenue at SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is growing +72.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990)?
Earnings per share at SEMCNS Co. Ltd. are growing +520% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SEMCNS Co. Ltd. (252990) carry?
The net debt of SEMCNS Co. Ltd. is 69.5B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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