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Neosem Inc (253590) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · KR · Market cap 406B KRW

NI Neosem Inc 253590 · KQ
Price10,260 KRW
Fair Value2,103 KRW
Upside-79.5%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.08% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range 1,577 KRW – 2,628 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 2,137 KRW to 2,103 KRW (−1.6%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,628 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

20,650 KRW 2,513 KRW Fair Value 2,103 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,513 KRW – 20,650 KRW · fair‑value band 1,577 KRW – 2,628 KRW · the 10,260 KRW price screens above the 2,103 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Neosem Inc (253590) currently trades at 10,260 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,103 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Neosem Inc generated revenue of 63.6B KRW at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 3.0B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,577 KRW (bear case) to 2,628 KRW (bull case); at 10,260 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -80%, 253590 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2,126 KRW 2,150 KRW 2,045 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 769.96 KRW 900.86 KRW 1,017 KRW 72
Gordon GGM 567.87 KRW 1,240 KRW 2,086 KRW 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 841.04 KRW 2,590 KRW 3,442 KRW 54
Lynch FV 559.29 KRW 798.99 KRW 1,039 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 559.29 KRW 798.99 KRW 1,039 KRW 46
EPV 769.96 KRW 900.86 KRW 1,017 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 567.87 KRW 1,240 KRW 2,086 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 567.87 KRW 952.97 KRW 1,292 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,855 KRW 2,474 KRW 3,092 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,577 KRW 2,103 KRW 2,628 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 1,577 KRW 2,103 KRW 2,628 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 1,296 KRW 1,718 KRW 2,141 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 1,388 KRW 1,841 KRW 2,294 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 882.63 KRW 1,249 KRW 1,615 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,380 KRW 1,849 KRW 2,760 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,126 KRW 2,150 KRW 2,045 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 769.96 KRW 900.86 KRW 1,017 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,536 KRW 2,195 KRW 2,853 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2,195 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (798.99 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 63.6B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 9.3%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −12.9B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 4.1%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.7%
Net debt 3.0B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Neosem Inc. manufactures and sells semiconductor inspection equipment. It offers memory burn-in, SSD, DRAM module, and LED tests; surface particle detectors; and automation test systems. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Anyang-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Neosem Inc reported revenue of 63.9B KRW in FY2025 versus 37.2B KRW in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
63.9B KRW
Latest YoY
−39.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 37.2B KRW
FY22 74.7B KRW
FY23 101B KRW
FY24 105B KRW
FY25 63.9B KRW
Net income −1.4%/yr
FY21 5.6B KRW
FY22 10.0B KRW
FY23 8.3B KRW
FY24 19.2B KRW
FY25 5.3B KRW

253590 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neosem Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/253590

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 321 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 60
PAST 20 · sector 24
HEALTH 92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $418.47 $208.16 -50%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €784.90 €185.67 -76%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Neosem Inc (253590) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,103 KRW versus a price of 10,260 KRW, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 253590?
Our model-based fair value for Neosem Inc is 2,103 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10,260 KRW.
What is the quality score of 253590?
Neosem Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Neosem Inc (253590)?
Neosem Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.6B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 253590?
The net profit margin of Neosem Inc is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Neosem Inc pay a dividend?
Neosem Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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