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Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co (2536) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 6.3B TWD

HP Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co 2536 · TW
Price20.30 TWD
Fair Value47.25 TWD
Upside+132.8%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (13/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range 35.44 TWD – 59.06 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 52.50 TWD to 47.25 TWD (−10.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 133% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (35.44 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39.85 TWD 17.90 TWD Fair Value 47.25 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.90 TWD – 39.85 TWD · fair‑value band 35.44 TWD – 59.06 TWD · the 20.30 TWD price screens below the 47.25 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co (2536) currently trades at 20.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 47.25 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 132.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co generated revenue of 10.5B TWD at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 16.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 35.44 TWD (bear case) to 59.06 TWD (bull case); at 20.30 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 133%, 2536 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 279.24 TWD 504.43 TWD 945.13 TWD 80
Residual Income 31.52 TWD 33.82 TWD 38.48 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 120.86 TWD 185.46 TWD 307.14 TWD 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 297.55 TWD 459.76 TWD 965.52 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 117.09 TWD 167.28 TWD 269.22 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 128.90 TWD 191.15 TWD 311.75 TWD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 171.44 TWD 292.93 TWD 343.25 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 181.75 TWD 317.78 TWD 526.15 TWD 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple 40.65 TWD 54.20 TWD 67.75 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 40.65 TWD 54.20 TWD 67.75 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 75.36 TWD 101.50 TWD 127.63 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 59.28 TWD 80.06 TWD 100.83 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 40.20 TWD 58.73 TWD 77.26 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 19.02 TWD 25.48 TWD 38.04 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 279.24 TWD 504.43 TWD 945.13 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 120.86 TWD 185.46 TWD 307.14 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.52 TWD 33.82 TWD 38.48 TWD 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (292.93 TWD) versus Asset-Based (25.48 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin 10.5%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 6.3B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 6.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) 3.18 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +465%
Net debt 16.4B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. engages in the construction, leasing, and selling of residential and commercial buildings in Taiwan. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co reported revenue of 10.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 323M TWD in FY2021, a compound +138.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.5B TWD
Latest YoY
+327.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+148.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +138.6%/yr
FY21 323M TWD
FY22 684M TWD
FY23 3.2B TWD
FY24 2.4B TWD
FY25 10.5B TWD
Net income
FY21 −34.7M TWD
FY22 −62.5M TWD
FY23 231M TWD
FY24 204M TWD
FY25 1.1B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −9.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.4 pp

of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin −6.0 pp
Tax rate −1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2536

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +133% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.29× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 13 · sector 0
PAST 34 · sector 10
HEALTH 86 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co (2536) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 47.25 TWD versus a price of 20.30 TWD, about +133% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2536?
Our model-based fair value for Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co is 47.25 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2536?
Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co (2536)?
Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2536?
The net profit margin of Hong Pu Real Estate Development Co is about 10.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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