Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$2.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$12.03 to HK$12.04 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$14.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range HK$11.84 – HK$17.95 · fair‑value band HK$9.39 – HK$14.69 · the HK$16.98 price screens above the HK$12.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) currently trades at HK$16.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.04, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$262M at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$188M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$9.39 (bear case) to HK$14.69 (bull case); at HK$16.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -29%, 2571 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$21.10) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.59). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Saimo Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, and development of intelligent connected vehicle simulation testing products and solutions in China.
Full company description
Beijing Saimo Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, and development of intelligent connected vehicle simulation testing products and solutions in China. The company offers Sim Pro, an ICV simulation testing, validation, and evaluation tool; Safety Pro, a functional safety and safety of the intended functionality analysis tool; and ICV simulation testing platform, a cloud-based ICV simulation testing solution, as well as customized ICV data platforms. It also provides simulation testing and support services for open road testing of ICVs; closed-field testing and related services for ICVs; and consulting and other services. In addition, the company is involved in drone testing, related technology development, and advisory and services. It serves governments, SOEs, automotive manufacturers, and technology companies. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$256M in FY2025 versus HK$107M in FY2021, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$54.8M in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.
2571 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $506.06 | $365.74 | -28% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$7.22 | C$2.34 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.84 | $61.46 | -62% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €358.00 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | -36% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥67.70 | ¥30.89 | -54% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,679 | ₹6,897 | -41% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.58 | ¥1.05 | -89% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,610 | ₹241.68 | -85% |
| PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO | 50.00 IDR | 20.41 IDR | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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