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Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd HK$12.32, price HK$16.00, upside -23.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK

BS Some data Sep 27, 2026

Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd

2571 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value HK$12.32 · Overvalued (−23.0%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +30.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 21.4% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100
!Weak on future: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$17.95 HK$11.84 Fair Value HK$12.32 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range HK$11.84 – HK$17.95 · fair‑value band HK$9.66 – HK$14.98 · the HK$16.00 price screens above the HK$12.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Saimo Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, and development of intelligent connected vehicle simulation testing products and solutions in China.

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Beijing Saimo Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, and development of intelligent connected vehicle simulation testing products and solutions in China. The company offers Sim Pro, an ICV simulation testing, validation, and evaluation tool; Safety Pro, a functional safety and safety of the intended functionality analysis tool; and ICV simulation testing platform, a cloud-based ICV simulation testing solution, as well as customized ICV data platforms. It also provides simulation testing and support services for open road testing of ICVs; closed-field testing and related services for ICVs; and consulting and other services. In addition, the company is involved in drone testing, related technology development, and advisory and services. It serves governments, SOEs, automotive manufacturers, and technology companies. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) currently trades at HK$16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.32, 23.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$24.65 per share, and 4 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$16.00 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$5.37, and 7 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: HK$9.66 (bear) to HK$14.98 (bull), the price of HK$16.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 256M CNY in FY2025 versus 107M CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was 54.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $268M) · P/E ratio 31.8 · P/S ratio 6.81 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 21.4% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% · Operating margin 15.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −23%, 2571 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$9.66 Fair Value HK$12.32 Bull HK$14.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0075 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$4.98 HK$7.73 HK$12.53 70
Residual Income HK$5.68 HK$5.64 HK$5.90 68
Growth-Adj P/E HK$17.26 HK$24.65 HK$32.05 65
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$4.98 HK$7.73 HK$12.53 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.32 HK$23.13 HK$32.46 61
Lynch FV HK$11.95 HK$17.07 HK$22.20 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$11.95 HK$17.07 HK$22.20 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$10.24 HK$13.66 HK$17.07 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.22 HK$8.29 HK$10.37 58
P/B Multiple HK$6.22 HK$8.29 HK$10.37 55
EV/EBITDA HK$10.12 HK$12.78 HK$15.44 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.01 HK$5.37 HK$8.01 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$5.68 HK$5.64 HK$5.90 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$17.26 HK$24.65 HK$32.05 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+77.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → −6%

2571 screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 365 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −23.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 21.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.83× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)16 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)33 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Microsoft Corporation MSFT $516.17 $567.79 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $189.67 $42.16 −78%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.10 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $252.13 $37.31 −85%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $425.76 $249.20 −41%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.59 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $76.42 $76.95 +1%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$12.32 −23%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2571

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$12.32 versus a price of HK$16.00, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2571?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is HK$12.32 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$16.00.
What is the quality score of 2571?
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$12.32 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.66, optimistic scenario HK$14.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$12.32, about −23% upside versus a price of HK$16.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$9.66, optimistic scenario HK$14.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 262M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd it is HK$12.32 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$16.00. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2571 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$16.00, fair value HK$12.32, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2571?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$16.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$12.32). For Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd the two are HK$3.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd at about HK$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$16.00; our models calculate a fair value of HK$12.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2571?
Our models span a range for Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$9.66, base HK$12.32, optimistic HK$14.98 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$16.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2571?
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$12.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 6.8, EV/EBITDA 20.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 8.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2571 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd trades at HK$16.00, about 11% below its 52-week high of HK$17.95 and 29% above the low of HK$12.45 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$12.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$16.00, calculated fair value HK$12.32 (−23%), Quality Score 48/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2571 calculated?
We run Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$12.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$16.00. Our model-based fair value is HK$12.32, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$14.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is HK$2.1B (≈ $268M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is 6.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The net margin of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is 21.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
The operating margin of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Revenue at Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd are growing −28.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd is −28.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd (2571) hold?
Beijing Saimo Tech Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 188M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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