Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Air Asia Co Ltd TWD 18.27, price TWD 46.30, upside -60.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.04 TWD – 71.42 TWD · fair‑value band 12.77 TWD – 24.17 TWD · the 46.30 TWD price screens above the 18.27 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Air Asia Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft maintenance company in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally.
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Air Asia Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft maintenance company in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers civilian and military aircraft maintenance, engine and component maintenance, helicopter maintenance, and aeronautical parts asset management services; and commercial and military aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services comprising A/B/C/D checks, airworthiness directives/service bulletins, CPCP/SSID, structure damage repair, and airframe modification and retrofit services. It also provides engine and component maintenance services, such as engine and component repair and overhaul, precision measurement, and non-destructive inspection services. In addition, the company offers ramp services; landing permit application services; and third-party services, including catering, laundry, and airport services. Further, it provides helicopter maintenance service, as well as leases and distributes aircraft and related parts and equipment. The company was formerly known as Civil Air Transport and changed its name to Air Asia Co., Ltd. in 1955. Air Asia Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) currently trades at 46.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 153.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 19.43 TWD per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 46.30 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 7.91 TWD, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 12.77 TWD (bear) to 24.17 TWD (bull), the price of 46.30 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Air Asia Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 210M TWD in FY2025, compounding +28.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.2B TWD (≈ $352M) · P/E ratio 46.3 · P/S ratio 1.78 · EPS (TTM) 1.00 TWD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −61%, 2630 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.77 TWDFair Value 18.27 TWDBull 24.17 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7342 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+36.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 5%
2025 sits 228% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−61% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)46.3× · Pricier than median
P/B3.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.12× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF1.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA31.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 46
PAST (return on equity)23· sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 17
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Air Asia Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2630
Frequently asked questions
Is Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.27 TWD versus a price of 46.30 TWD, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2630?
Our model-based fair value for Air Asia Co Ltd is 18.27 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2630?
Air Asia Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.27 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.77 TWD, optimistic scenario 24.17 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Air Asia Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.27 TWD, about −61% upside versus a price of 46.30 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.77 TWD, optimistic scenario 24.17 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Air Asia Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Air Asia Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Air Asia Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Air Asia Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +27.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2630 use?
Our models discount Air Asia Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Air Asia Co Ltd that is +27.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Air Asia Co Ltd grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +27.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Air Asia Co Ltd (+27.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.34 %: that much free cash flow Air Asia Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Air Asia Co Ltd it is 18.27 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 46.30 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Air Asia Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2630 trades above its calculated fair value: price 46.30 TWD, fair value 18.27 TWD, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2630?
No. The price is what the market pays today (46.30 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.27 TWD). For Air Asia Co Ltd the two are 28.03 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Air Asia Co Ltd worth?
The market values Air Asia Co Ltd at about 11.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 46.30 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 18.27 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2630?
Our models span a range for Air Asia Co Ltd: cautious scenario 12.77 TWD, base 18.27 TWD, optimistic 24.17 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 46.30 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2630?
Air Asia Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.27 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 31.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Balance-sheet figures for Air Asia Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2630 from its 52-week high?
Air Asia Co Ltd trades at 46.30 TWD, about 26% below its 52-week high of 62.30 TWD and 20% above the low of 38.65 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.27 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Air Asia Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Air Asia Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 46.30 TWD, calculated fair value 18.27 TWD (−61%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2630 calculated?
We run Air Asia Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.27 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Air Asia Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 46.30 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 18.27 TWD, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Air Asia Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (24.17 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (12.77 TWD to 24.17 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) come from?
Earnings per share at Air Asia Co Ltd grew −2.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −6.2 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Air Asia Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The market capitalisation of Air Asia Co Ltd is 11.2B TWD (≈ $352M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Air Asia Co Ltd is 1.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Earnings per share at Air Asia Co Ltd are 1.00 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The dividend yield of Air Asia Co Ltd is 1.2% (payout 53.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The net margin of Air Asia Co Ltd is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Air Asia Co Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Air Asia Co Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
The operating margin of Air Asia Co Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Revenue at Air Asia Co Ltd is growing −12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Air Asia Co Ltd (2630)?
Earnings per share at Air Asia Co Ltd are growing −38.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Air Asia Co Ltd (2630) carry?
The net debt of Air Asia Co Ltd is 1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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