Air Asia Co (2630) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 11.2B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (24.17 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (12.77 TWD to 24.17 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.04 TWD – 71.42 TWD · fair‑value band 12.77 TWD – 24.17 TWD · the 48.30 TWD price screens above the 18.27 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Air Asia Co (2630) currently trades at 48.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Air Asia Co generated revenue of 5.3B TWD at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 1.1B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.77 TWD (bear case) to 24.17 TWD (bull case); at 48.30 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -62%, 2630 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (21.06 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (7.93 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Air Asia Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft maintenance company in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers civilian and military aircraft maintenance, engine and component maintenance, helicopter maintenance, and aeronautical parts asset management services; and commercial and military aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services …
Full company description
Air Asia Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft maintenance company in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers civilian and military aircraft maintenance, engine and component maintenance, helicopter maintenance, and aeronautical parts asset management services; and commercial and military aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services comprising A/B/C/D checks, airworthiness directives/service bulletins, CPCP/SSID, structure damage repair, and airframe modification and retrofit services. It also provides engine and component maintenance services, such as engine and component repair and overhaul, precision measurement, and non-destructive inspection services. In addition, the company offers ramp services; landing permit application services; and third-party services, including catering, laundry, and airport services. Further, it provides helicopter maintenance service, as well as leases and distributes aircraft and related parts and equipment. The company was formerly known as Civil Air Transport and changed its name to Air Asia Co., Ltd. in 1955. Air Asia Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Air Asia Co reported revenue of 5.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 210M TWD in FY2025, compounding +28.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2630 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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