Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ambassador Hotel Ltd TWD 9.70, price TWD 45.05, upside -78.5%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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The Ambassador Hotel,Ltd. operates hotels and restaurants under the Ambassador Hotels, A CUT STEAKHOUSE, and Corner Bakery63 brands in Taiwan. Its facilities include restaurants, cafes, lounge bars, and clubs. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) currently trades at 45.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.70 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 364.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 46.75 TWD per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the 45.05 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.76 TWD, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 7.28 TWD (bear) to 12.37 TWD (bull), the price of 45.05 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ambassador Hotel Ltd reported revenue of 1.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 210M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 16.6B TWD (≈ $520M) · P/E ratio 25.3 · P/S ratio 3.92 · EPS (TTM) 1.78 TWD · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 15.5% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −78%, 2704 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (4.44 TWD to 46.75 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 7.28 TWDFair Value 9.70 TWDBull 12.37 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9363 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → −1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 167 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)48% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.3× · Pricier than median
P/B0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)12.17× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ambassador Hotel Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2704
Frequently asked questions
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.70 TWD versus a price of 45.05 TWD, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2704?
Our model-based fair value for Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 9.70 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 45.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2704?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.70 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.28 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.37 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.70 TWD, about −78% upside versus a price of 45.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.28 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.37 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ambassador Hotel Ltd pay a dividend?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ambassador Hotel Ltd it is 9.70 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 45.05 TWD. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2704 trades above its calculated fair value: price 45.05 TWD, fair value 9.70 TWD, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2704?
No. The price is what the market pays today (45.05 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.70 TWD). For Ambassador Hotel Ltd the two are 35.35 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ambassador Hotel Ltd worth?
The market values Ambassador Hotel Ltd at about 16.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 45.05 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.70 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2704?
Our models span a range for Ambassador Hotel Ltd: cautious scenario 7.28 TWD, base 9.70 TWD, optimistic 12.37 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 45.05 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2704?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.70 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 12.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ambassador Hotel Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2704 from its 52-week high?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd trades at 45.05 TWD, about 6% below its 52-week high of 48.00 TWD and 9% above the low of 41.50 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.70 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ambassador Hotel Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 45.05 TWD, calculated fair value 9.70 TWD (−78%), Quality Score 41/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2704 calculated?
We run Ambassador Hotel Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.70 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ambassador Hotel Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 45.05 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.70 TWD, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ambassador Hotel Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.37 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Ambassador Hotel Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The market capitalisation of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 16.6B TWD (≈ $520M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 3.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Earnings per share at Ambassador Hotel Ltd are 1.78 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The dividend yield of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 1.1% (payout 28.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The net margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 15.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The operating margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Revenue at Ambassador Hotel Ltd is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Earnings per share at Ambassador Hotel Ltd are growing +694% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) generate?
The free cash flow of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is −4.1M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) carry?
The net debt of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 740M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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