Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock TWD 12.59, price TWD 43.90, that is 71.3% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 26.74 TWD – 77.20 TWD · fair‑value band 9.45 TWD – 15.74 TWD · the 43.90 TWD price screens above the 12.59 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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The Ambassador Hotel,Ltd. operates hotels and restaurants under the Ambassador Hotels, A CUT STEAKHOUSE, and Corner Bakery63 brands in Taiwan. Its facilities include restaurants, cafes, lounge bars, and clubs. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) currently trades at 43.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.59 TWD, 71% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 43.02 TWD per share, and 1 of the 10 models we run sit above the 43.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.70 TWD, and 9 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 9.45 TWD (bear) to 15.74 TWD (bull), the price of 43.90 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ambassador Hotel Ltd reported revenue of 1.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 210M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 16.1B TWD (≈ $490M) Small · P/E ratio 16.5 · P/S ratio 11.7 · EPS (TTM) 2.66 TWD · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 70.7% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −71%, 2704 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (4.44 TWD to 63.28 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear9.45 TWDFair Value 12.59 TWDBull15.74 TWD
Price 43.90 TWD · Downside -71.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.85 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 1.7% / −6.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → −1%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.52 per share, median 1.15 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−71.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.3% · Below median
Return on assets0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)70.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)16.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)11.65× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)33· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ambassador Hotel Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2704
Frequently asked questions
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.59 TWD versus a price of 43.90 TWD, about 71% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2704?
Our model-based fair value for Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 12.59 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 43.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2704?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.59 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.45 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.74 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.59 TWD, about 71% lower versus a price of 43.90 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.45 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.74 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Ambassador Hotel Ltd pay a dividend?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd pays a dividend of 0.5 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 21, 2026. The payout ratio is 18.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ambassador Hotel Ltd it is 12.59 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 43.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 2704 trades above its calculated fair value: price 43.90 TWD, fair value 12.59 TWD, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2704?
No. The price is what the market pays today (43.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.59 TWD). For Ambassador Hotel Ltd the two are 31.31 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ambassador Hotel Ltd worth?
The market values Ambassador Hotel Ltd at about 16.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 43.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 12.59 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2704?
Our models span a range for Ambassador Hotel Ltd: cautious scenario 9.45 TWD, base 12.59 TWD, optimistic 15.74 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 43.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2704?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.5 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12.59 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 20.9. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ambassador Hotel Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2704 from its 52-week high?
Ambassador Hotel Ltd trades at 43.90 TWD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 48.00 TWD and 6% above the low of 41.60 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.59 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ambassador Hotel Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ambassador Hotel Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 43.90 TWD, calculated fair value 12.59 TWD (−71%), Quality Score 41/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2704 calculated?
We run Ambassador Hotel Ltd through 10 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 12.59 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Ambassador Hotel Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 43.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 12.59 TWD, about 71% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ambassador Hotel Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.74 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Ambassador Hotel Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The market capitalisation of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 16.1B TWD (≈ $490M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 11.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Earnings per share at Ambassador Hotel Ltd are 2.66 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The dividend yield of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 1.1% (payout 18.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The net margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 70.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
The operating margin of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Revenue at Ambassador Hotel Ltd is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704)?
Earnings per share at Ambassador Hotel Ltd are growing +139% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) generate?
The free cash flow of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is −4.1M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ambassador Hotel Ltd (2704) carry?
The net debt of Ambassador Hotel Ltd is 740M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026