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TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of TSG Star Travel Corp. TWD 3.64, price TWD 19.55, upside -81.4%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · TW

TS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

TSG Star Travel Corp.

2719 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.64 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +65.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

112.00 TWD 18.18 TWD Fair Value 3.64 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.18 TWD – 112.00 TWD · fair‑value band 2.74 TWD – 5.25 TWD · the 19.55 TWD price screens above the 3.64 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

TSG Star Travel Corp. engages in the travel business in Northeast Asia, Japan and Southeast Asia. The company offers tourists; and provides related services such as transportation, accommodation, and activity design. The company is also involved in general wholesale and retail activities and management consulting services.

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TSG Star Travel Corp. engages in the travel business in Northeast Asia, Japan and Southeast Asia. The company offers tourists; and provides related services such as transportation, accommodation, and activity design. The company is also involved in general wholesale and retail activities and management consulting services. The company was formerly known as Star Travel Corp. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan. TSG Star Travel Corp. operates as a subsidiary of E-Top Metal Co. Ltd.

Stock analysis

TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719) currently trades at 19.55 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 437.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.74 TWD (bear) to 5.25 TWD (bull), the price of 19.55 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

TSG Star Travel Corp. reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 33.1M TWD in FY2021, a compound +177.4%/yr. Reported net income was −10.0M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.6B TWD (≈ $50.8M) · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) −0.1500 TWD · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.8% · Operating margin 8.9% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9B TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, 2719 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.74 TWD Fair Value 3.64 TWD Bull 5.25 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 3.27 TWD 4.65 TWD 7.04 TWD 74
NCAV (Graham) 5.11 TWD 6.85 TWD 10.23 TWD 54
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.27 TWD 4.65 TWD 7.04 TWD 74
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.11 TWD 6.85 TWD 10.23 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+188.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−54.3% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2719 screens 437% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 88 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $164.22 $187.11 +14%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $149.58 $164.54 +10%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $230.30 $208.66 −9%
Viking Holdings VIK $81.02 $89.12 +10%
Carnival Corporation CCL $21.80 $36.68 +68%
Expedia Group EXPE $280.70 $308.77 +10%
Trip.com Group 9961 HK$323.40 HK$679.13 +110%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $14.22 $20.28 +43%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.46 $5.23 −45%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $62.87 $35.88 −43%

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TSG Star Travel Corp. · Fair Value
3.64 TWD −437%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TSG Star Travel Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2719

Frequently asked questions

Is TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.64 TWD versus a price of 19.55 TWD, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2719?
Our model-based fair value for TSG Star Travel Corp. is 3.64 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.55 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2719?
TSG Star Travel Corp. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.64 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.25 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TSG Star Travel Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.64 TWD, about −81% upside versus a price of 19.55 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.25 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
TSG Star Travel Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TSG Star Travel Corp. it is 3.64 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 19.55 TWD. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TSG Star Travel Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2719 trades above its calculated fair value: price 19.55 TWD, fair value 3.64 TWD, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2719?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.55 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.64 TWD). For TSG Star Travel Corp. the two are 15.91 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TSG Star Travel Corp. worth?
The market values TSG Star Travel Corp. at about 1.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 19.55 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 3.64 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2719?
Our models span a range for TSG Star Travel Corp.: cautious scenario 2.74 TWD, base 3.64 TWD, optimistic 5.25 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 19.55 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Balance-sheet figures for TSG Star Travel Corp. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2719 from its 52-week high?
TSG Star Travel Corp. trades at 19.55 TWD, about 49% below its 52-week high of 38.45 TWD and 2% above the low of 19.15 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.64 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TSG Star Travel Corp.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TSG Star Travel Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 19.55 TWD, calculated fair value 3.64 TWD (−81%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2719 calculated?
We run TSG Star Travel Corp. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.64 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TSG Star Travel Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 19.55 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 3.64 TWD, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TSG Star Travel Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.25 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.74 TWD to 5.25 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TSG Star Travel Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The market capitalisation of TSG Star Travel Corp. is 1.6B TWD (≈ $50.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TSG Star Travel Corp. is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Earnings per share at TSG Star Travel Corp. are −0.1500 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The net margin of TSG Star Travel Corp. is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TSG Star Travel Corp. is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TSG Star Travel Corp. is −7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
The operating margin of TSG Star Travel Corp. is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Revenue at TSG Star Travel Corp. is growing −14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +188%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719)?
Earnings per share at TSG Star Travel Corp. are growing +375% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719) generate?
The free cash flow of TSG Star Travel Corp. is −10.9M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TSG Star Travel Corp. (2719) hold?
TSG Star Travel Corp. holds more cash than debt, 52.4M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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