TSG Star Travel Corp (2719) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.6B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −10.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.04 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (2.54 TWD to 5.04 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.18 TWD – 112.00 TWD · fair‑value band 2.54 TWD – 5.04 TWD · the 21.65 TWD price screens above the 3.37 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
TSG Star Travel Corp (2719) currently trades at 21.65 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.37 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 84.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, TSG Star Travel Corp generated revenue of 1.9B TWD at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 52.4M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.54 TWD (bear case) to 5.04 TWD (bull case); at 21.65 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -84%, 2719 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (6.85 TWD) versus DCF Models (4.50 TWD). Highest evidence: NCAV (Graham) (50).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TSG Star Travel Corp. engages in the travel business in Northeast Asia, Japan and Southeast Asia. The company offers tourists; and provides related services such as transportation, accommodation, and activity design. The company is also involved in general wholesale and retail activities and management consulting services.
Full company description
TSG Star Travel Corp. engages in the travel business in Northeast Asia, Japan and Southeast Asia. The company offers tourists; and provides related services such as transportation, accommodation, and activity design. The company is also involved in general wholesale and retail activities and management consulting services. The company was formerly known as Star Travel Corp. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan. TSG Star Travel Corp. operates as a subsidiary of E-Top Metal Co. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TSG Star Travel Corp reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 33.1M TWD in FY2021, a compound +177.4%/yr. Reported net income was −10.0M TWD in FY2025.
2719 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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