Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd (2758) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.5B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (62.88 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (22.38 TWD to 62.88 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range 63.77 TWD – 166.54 TWD · fair‑value band 22.38 TWD – 62.88 TWD · the 70.30 TWD price screens above the 42.46 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd (2758) currently trades at 70.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.46 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd generated revenue of 2.9B TWD at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 27.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 867M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 22.38 TWD (bear case) to 62.88 TWD (bull case); at 70.30 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -40%, 2758 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (57.55 TWD) versus Economic Profit (5.59 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and selling of coffee beans, and other food and beverage products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers drip coffee, specialty coffee, expresso drinks, single ranch, tea, and other drinks; and light meals, bagels, cakes, and cookies.
Full company description
Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and selling of coffee beans, and other food and beverage products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers drip coffee, specialty coffee, expresso drinks, single ranch, tea, and other drinks; and light meals, bagels, cakes, and cookies. It also provides tumbler, coffee drip pot, stainless steel flatware, foldable cutlery, straight umbrella with black shade, stainless steel vacuum insulated mug, tote bag, and padded bag with adjustable strap. The company offers its products through stores. In addition, it is involved in chain franchising business. Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd reported revenue of 2.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 46.8M TWD in FY2025, compounding −14.8%/yr from FY2021.
2758 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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