Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (2777) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$788M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1716 to HK$0.1699 (−1.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −16.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1207 to HK$0.2221) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2030 – HK$9.67 · fair‑value band HK$0.1207 – HK$0.2221 · the HK$0.2050 price screens above the HK$0.1699 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (2777) currently trades at HK$0.2050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1699, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$10.9B. Revenue grew 48.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -90.7%. Net debt stands at HK$96.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1207 (bear case) to HK$0.2221 (bull case); at HK$0.2050, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -17%, 2777 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$4.50) versus DCF Models (HK$3.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells residential and commercial properties in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Australia, the United Kingdom, Cambodia, and South Korea. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, and All Other segments.
Full company description
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells residential and commercial properties in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Australia, the United Kingdom, Cambodia, and South Korea. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, and All Other segments. The company engages in the investment in and development of properties, including hotels, office buildings, shopping malls, theme parks, and other retail properties; provision of property management and leasing; operation and management of hotels and a theme park; and operation of sport, diet, healthcare, culture and entertainment, and business centers, as well as a football club. It also operates an offline exhibition, a trading complex, and an online ecological industry operation platform; and provides product, channel promotion, and supply chain platform services. In addition, the company provides senior living services, including health, leisure, routine, catering, and property management services, as well as special services that include car, purchasing, ordering, tourism, and hot spring services; and medical care services, such as prevention and healthcare, health assessment and management, diagnosis, treatment, and rehabilitation services. Further, it provides planning and designing, supervision, construction, landscaping, electrical and service installation, and interior decoration services. Additionally, the company engages in the installation of electromechanical and crane equipment, fire-fighting facilities, intelligent construction, power supply, and distribution projects. Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$10.9B in FY2025 versus HK$76.2B in FY2021, a compound −38.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$16.4B in FY2025.
2777 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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