2798 (2798) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap HK$1.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Share price −22.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.6800 – HK$1.24 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.9000 · the HK$0.7300 price screens above the HK$0.6000 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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2798 (2798) currently trades at HK$0.7300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6000 — implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 2798 generated revenue of HK$1.2B at a net margin of -16.4%. Revenue declined 26.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. Net debt stands at HK$967M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
2798 reported revenue of HK$1.2B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$198M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,540 IDR | 1,155 IDR | -25% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $95.23 | $10.93 | -89% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $212.78 | $138.16 | -35% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.68 | ¥5.35 | +45% |
| Stanmore Resources Limited SMR | A$2.46 | A$7.09 | +188% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group FSHYF | $0.3149 | $0.3500 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.