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Yunnan Coal & Energy Co (600792) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY

YC Yunnan Coal & Energy Co 600792 · SHG
Price¥3.60
Fair Value¥5.76
Upside+60.0%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -8.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.60 – ¥7.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥3.87 to ¥5.76 (+48.8%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.60 to ¥7.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.06 ¥2.92 Fair Value ¥5.76 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.92 – ¥6.06 · fair‑value band ¥3.60 – ¥7.92 · the ¥3.60 price screens below the ¥5.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunnan Coal & Energy Co (600792) currently trades at ¥3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.76, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Coal & Energy Co generated revenue of 5.7B CNY at a net margin of -8.6%. Revenue grew 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.0%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.60 (bear case) to ¥7.92 (bull case); at ¥3.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 60%, 600792 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.99 ¥7.17 ¥12.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.22 ¥5.82 ¥9.19 74
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.14 ¥1.53 ¥2.29 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.04 ¥7.55 ¥13.44 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.22 ¥5.87 ¥9.44 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.35 ¥5.93 ¥9.83 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥2.86 ¥4.31 ¥5.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.14 ¥1.53 ¥2.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.99 ¥7.17 ¥12.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.22 ¥5.82 ¥9.19 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.93) versus Asset-Based (¥1.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.1%
Net margin -8.6%
Return on equity -18.0%
Free cash flow 413M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -5.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4500
EPS growth (YoY) -13.3%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yunnan Coal & Energy Co.,Ltd. produces and sells coke and related chemical products in China. Its products include metallurgical coke, coal gas, crude benzene, tar, methanol, ammonium sulfate, sulfur, and other products.

Full company description

Yunnan Coal & Energy Co.,Ltd. produces and sells coke and related chemical products in China. Its products include metallurgical coke, coal gas, crude benzene, tar, methanol, ammonium sulfate, sulfur, and other products. The company is also involved in the design, manufacture, installation, and maintenance of transportation equipment, such as cranes and belt conveyors; metallurgical equipment, mining equipment, tunneling equipment, wind power and water conservancy equipment, environmental protection equipment, and rollers; and wear-resistant, corrosion-resistant, and heat-resistant materials. In addition, it engages in the gas engineering and maintenance and repair of equipment and production lines. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Kunming, China. Yunnan Coal & Energy Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Kunming Iron & Steel Holding Co.,Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunnan Coal & Energy Co reported revenue of ¥5.5B in FY2025 versus ¥6.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥486M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+16.2%
Revenue −2.6%/yr
FY21 ¥6.1B
FY22 ¥7.5B
FY23 ¥7.5B
FY24 ¥6.7B
FY25 ¥5.5B
Net income
FY21 −¥29.7M
FY22 −¥181M
FY23 ¥147M
FY24 −¥662M
FY25 −¥486M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Coal & Energy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600792

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 3
FUTURE 81 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 11

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,515 IDR 1,267 IDR -16%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $78.91 $18.35 -77%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.34 ¥1.24 -63%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $143.80 $45.29 -69%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.39 HK$2.34 -2%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.54 ¥1.75 -51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.41 ¥1.72 -68%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $12.80 $1.74 -86%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.63 ¥1.91 -27%
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $8.37 $3.67 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Coal & Energy Co (600792) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.76 versus a price of ¥3.60, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600792?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Coal & Energy Co is ¥5.76 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.60.
What is the quality score of 600792?
Yunnan Coal & Energy Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Coal & Energy Co (600792)?
Yunnan Coal & Energy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600792?
The net profit margin of Yunnan Coal & Energy Co is about -8.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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