Collins Co (2906) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 2.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.02 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.66 TWD – 24.27 TWD · fair‑value band 6.27 TWD – 11.02 TWD · the 13.50 TWD price screens above the 8.82 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Collins Co (2906) currently trades at 13.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.82 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Collins Co generated revenue of 8.9B TWD at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at 3.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.27 TWD (bear case) to 11.02 TWD (bull case); at 13.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -35%, 2906 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (21.18 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (4.63 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Collins Co., Ltd. engages in the export of household consumer and apparel products in Taiwan, the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Trading Business Department, Fashion Life Business Department, Kidney Dialysis Business Department, and Other Business Department segments.
Full company description
Collins Co., Ltd. engages in the export of household consumer and apparel products in Taiwan, the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Trading Business Department, Fashion Life Business Department, Kidney Dialysis Business Department, and Other Business Department segments. It offers household hardware, such as kitchenware, tableware, utensils, barbecue utensils, cleaning utensils, bathroom equipment, fireplace appliances, car accessories, and others; travel and sporting goods, including suitcases, handbags, backpacks, toys, musical instruments, fitness equipment, and others; and electrical appliances comprising fans, ceiling fans, dehumidifiers, heaters, various lamps, small appliances, and others. The company also provides generic handy tools, gardening tools, and others; various gifts, handicrafts, Christmas trees and lights, Christmas and other festive accessories, and others; indoor furniture products, including dining tables and chairs, sofas, cabinets, desks, bedding, and others; outdoor furniture products, such as deck chairs, sofas, wicker chairs, tents, table sets, sunshades, and others; and garments comprising casual wear, children's wear, outerwear, footwear, and others. In addition, the company retails and sells fashion apparel, luggage, leather goods, and other accessories; engages in the green energy operations; and sells hemodialysis related and dental consumables. Collins Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Collins Co reported revenue of 8.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 8.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 98.7M TWD in FY2025, compounding −24.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2906 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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