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Wuxi Boton Technology Co (300031) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.4B CNY

WB Wuxi Boton Technology Co 300031 · SHE
Price¥21.88
Fair Value¥8.40
Upside-61.6%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.36 – ¥10.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥10.11 to ¥8.40 (−16.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.62 ¥11.48 Fair Value ¥8.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.48 – ¥38.62 · fair‑value band ¥6.36 – ¥10.50 · the ¥21.88 price screens above the ¥8.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuxi Boton Technology Co (300031) currently trades at ¥21.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.40, implying the stock looks roughly 61.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuxi Boton Technology Co generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 25.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 456M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.36 (bear case) to ¥10.50 (bull case); at ¥21.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -62%, 300031 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.27 ¥5.07 ¥6.47 80
Residual Income ¥7.40 ¥7.50 ¥7.24 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.87 ¥7.46 ¥7.98 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.29 ¥5.19 ¥6.84 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.11 ¥8.70 ¥13.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.24 ¥9.30 ¥13.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.01 ¥13.11 ¥19.85 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.67 ¥14.52 ¥21.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.46 ¥8.19 ¥12.83 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.79 ¥11.05 ¥18.19 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.24 ¥12.11 ¥19.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.36 ¥17.84 ¥24.70 54
Lynch FV ¥4.91 ¥7.02 ¥9.13 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.91 ¥7.02 ¥9.13 46
EPV ¥6.87 ¥7.46 ¥7.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.40 ¥2.92 ¥4.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.40 ¥2.46 ¥3.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.78 ¥10.38 ¥12.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.60 ¥10.36 ¥12.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.09 ¥12.35 ¥14.60 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.09 ¥8.70 ¥10.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.81 ¥6.44 ¥9.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.27 ¥5.07 ¥6.47 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.40 ¥7.50 ¥7.24 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.87 ¥7.46 ¥7.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.27 ¥10.38 ¥13.50 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.38) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.5%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow 29.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 43.3
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6300
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +102%
Net cash 456M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuxi Boton Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in conveyor belt manufacturing, conveyor system technical services, and mobile online game operations in China and internationally.

Full company description

Wuxi Boton Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in conveyor belt manufacturing, conveyor system technical services, and mobile online game operations in China and internationally. The company offers energy-saving aramid, carbon neutralization, bio-based, high-performance steel wire, tubular, fabric core, and solid woven conveyor belts; intelligent conveying full-stack solutions, including digital conveying online monitoring service, intelligent conveying industrial internet platform, energy-saving and environmentally friendly green transformation products, and digital conveyor system integration turnkey service; and intelligent unmanned and digital twin smart mine systems for mining, steel smelting, building materials and cement, ports and terminals, and thermal power generation industries. It also publishes and distributes mobile games; and metaverse solutions, such as virtual humans, objects, and spaces. The company was formerly known as Wuxi Boton Belt Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wuxi Boton Technology Co., Ltd. in August 2015. Wuxi Boton Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuxi Boton Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥207M in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+18.4%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥3.7B
FY24 ¥3.3B
FY25 ¥3.5B
Net income −15.3%/yr
FY21 ¥403M
FY22 −¥396M
FY23 ¥106M
FY24 ¥210M
FY25 ¥207M

300031 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuxi Boton Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300031

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 57.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 41.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 23 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuxi Boton Technology Co (300031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.40 versus a price of ¥21.88, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300031?
Our model-based fair value for Wuxi Boton Technology Co is ¥8.40 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.88.
What is the quality score of 300031?
Wuxi Boton Technology Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuxi Boton Technology Co (300031)?
Wuxi Boton Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300031?
The net profit margin of Wuxi Boton Technology Co is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wuxi Boton Technology Co pay a dividend?
Wuxi Boton Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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