Harbin Jiuzhou Group (300040) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price +17.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.35 – ¥12.17 · fair‑value band ¥1.00 – ¥1.67 · the ¥6.48 price screens above the ¥1.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Harbin Jiuzhou Group (300040) currently trades at ¥6.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Harbin Jiuzhou Group generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.00 (bear case) to ¥1.67 (bull case); at ¥6.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -79%, 300040 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.72) versus Economic Profit (¥0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Harbin Jiuzhou Group Co.,Ltd. manufactures and supplies electrical equipment and energy efficiency management solutions in China and internationally. The company offers power products, including batteries; and power quality management products, comprising high and low voltage reactive power compensation products.
Full company description
Harbin Jiuzhou Group Co.,Ltd. manufactures and supplies electrical equipment and energy efficiency management solutions in China and internationally. The company offers power products, including batteries; and power quality management products, comprising high and low voltage reactive power compensation products. It also provides transformers and reactors, prefabricated box types, busbars and bridges, terminals, and distribution automation products; low voltage switch complete set equipment; medium voltage switchgears comprising gas insulated medium voltage and air insulation medium voltage switchgears; and electrical components that include medium voltage switching components and low voltage dual power transfer switches. In addition, the company offers high-voltage motor drive products, including high voltage and low voltage soft starters, and high and low voltage inverters; new energy grid-connected converters and supporting products, such as megawatt level wind power converters; and power engineering installation and construction products. Further, it provides energy saving and energy efficiency management, city and infrastructure, rail transportation, distribution automation, building technology, industry, mine, new energy, data center, and reactive power compensation solutions. The company was formerly known as Harbin Jiuzhou Electrical Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Harbin Jiuzhou Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2020. Harbin Jiuzhou Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Harbin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Harbin Jiuzhou Group reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥40.9M in FY2025, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2021.
300040 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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