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Guangdong Tloong Technology Group (300063) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY

GT Guangdong Tloong Technology Group 300063 · SHE
Price¥9.58
Fair Value¥2.55
Upside-73.4%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.85 – ¥3.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Share price +21.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥17.75 ¥3.23 Fair Value ¥2.55 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.23 – ¥17.75 · fair‑value band ¥1.85 – ¥3.18 · the ¥9.58 price screens above the ¥2.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Tloong Technology Group (300063) currently trades at ¥9.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.55, implying the stock looks roughly 73.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Tloong Technology Group generated revenue of 8.1B CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 34.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 448M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.85 (bear case) to ¥3.18 (bull case); at ¥9.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -73%, 300063 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.7100 ¥1.30 ¥2.19 80
Residual Income ¥1.81 ¥1.87 ¥1.91 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.24 ¥2.98 ¥3.75 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.7300 ¥1.24 ¥2.50 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.39 ¥2.66 ¥5.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.96 ¥4.02 ¥7.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.78 ¥3.62 ¥6.12 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.54 ¥3.09 ¥5.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.46 ¥3.29 ¥6.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.42 ¥2.99 ¥5.70 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.26 ¥2.59 ¥4.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.02 ¥5.94 ¥8.26 54
Lynch FV ¥1.68 ¥2.40 ¥3.12 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.68 ¥2.40 ¥3.12 46
EPV ¥2.24 ¥2.58 ¥2.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2800 ¥0.5700 ¥0.8600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2800 ¥0.4900 ¥0.6000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.55 ¥3.18 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.55 ¥3.18 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.55 ¥3.18 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.85 ¥3.77 ¥4.68 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.38 ¥3.13 ¥3.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.48 ¥3.50 ¥4.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.15 ¥1.54 ¥2.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.7100 ¥1.30 ¥2.19 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.81 ¥1.87 ¥1.91 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.24 ¥2.98 ¥3.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.25 ¥3.22 ¥4.18 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥3.22) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.4900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.5%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 35.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 64.0
More key figures
Operating margin 1.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net debt 448M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Tloong Technology Group Co.,Ltd researches, develops, and sells various printing ink products in China and internationally. It provides internet marketing services, such as media agency services and brand marketing services.

Full company description

Guangdong Tloong Technology Group Co.,Ltd researches, develops, and sells various printing ink products in China and internationally. It provides internet marketing services, such as media agency services and brand marketing services. The company offers water-based, solvent, and offset printing inks for chemical and food packaging industries; and disproportionated rosin, turpentine, pinene, potassium soap, etc. for forest chemical industry. It also provides marketing planning, advertising, software, corporate image planning, public relations, creative planning services, etc. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Sky Dragon Printing Ink Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Tloong Technology Group Co.,Ltd in November 2020. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Zhaoqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Tloong Technology Group reported revenue of ¥7.6B in FY2025 versus ¥10.6B in FY2021, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥114M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+22.9%
Revenue −8.2%/yr
FY21 ¥10.6B
FY22 ¥9.6B
FY23 ¥8.7B
FY24 ¥7.3B
FY25 ¥7.6B
Net income −2.3%/yr
FY21 ¥125M
FY22 ¥103M
FY23 ¥13.6M
FY24 ¥65.2M
FY25 ¥114M

300063 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Tloong Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300063

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 64.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 30.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 28 · sector 23
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Tloong Technology Group (300063) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.55 versus a price of ¥9.58, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300063?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Tloong Technology Group is ¥2.55 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.58.
What is the quality score of 300063?
Guangdong Tloong Technology Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Tloong Technology Group (300063)?
Guangdong Tloong Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300063?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Tloong Technology Group is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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