Sumavision Technologies Co (300079) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 6.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.40 to ¥0.4700 (−66.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.44 – ¥11.89 · fair‑value band ¥0.3500 – ¥0.5800 · the ¥4.51 price screens above the ¥0.4700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Sumavision Technologies Co (300079) currently trades at ¥4.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 89.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sumavision Technologies Co generated revenue of 724M CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3500 (bear case) to ¥0.5800 (bull case); at ¥4.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -90%, 300079 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.96) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sumavision Technologies Co.,Ltd. provides video delivery solutions for broadcast, cable, satellite, internet, and mobile and telco video service in China and internationally.
Full company description
Sumavision Technologies Co.,Ltd. provides video delivery solutions for broadcast, cable, satellite, internet, and mobile and telco video service in China and internationally. The company offers video processing products, such as linear distribution solution, transcoding solution, modulation solution, IPTV and OTT, and content security; and live and sports products, including live and sports over IP, SDI over IP, studio central management, Suma media center, Suma Marix, and quality management and reliable contribution products. It also provides access network products comprising DAA solution, hospitality, DOCSIS and PON hybrid solution, and FFTH solutions; and AV over IP products. Sumavision Technologies Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sumavision Technologies Co reported revenue of ¥733M in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.2M in FY2025, compounding −25.0%/yr from FY2021.
300079 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 290 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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