ChenGuang Biotech Group (300138) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price +15.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥9.60 (bear) to ¥16.00 (bull), base ¥12.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.73 – ¥17.92 · fair‑value band ¥9.60 – ¥16.00 · the ¥11.23 price screens below the ¥12.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
ChenGuang Biotech Group (300138) currently trades at ¥11.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.80, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ChenGuang Biotech Group generated revenue of 6.5B CNY at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 2.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.60 (bear case) to ¥16.00 (bull case); at ¥11.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 14%, 300138 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.38) versus Asset-Based (¥4.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd. develops and produces natural colors, spice extracts and essential oils, nutritional and pharmaceutical extracts, and oils and protein.
Full company description
ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd. develops and produces natural colors, spice extracts and essential oils, nutritional and pharmaceutical extracts, and oils and protein. The company offers natural colors, including paprika oleoresin, marigold oleoresin, and turmeric; spice extracts and essential oils, such as capsicum oleoresin, sichuan pepper oil, pepper oleoresin, ginger extract, and cumin oleoresin, fennel oleoresin, celery seed essential oil, litsea cubeba oil, garlic essential oil cinnamon and star anise essential oil; lutein, lycopene, grape seed extract, curcumin, and milk thistle extract; stevia, monk fruit, wheat germ, silybum marianum and grape seed oil, walnut oil, safflower seed oil, flaxseed oil, and animal feed, including Lutein, paprika, crude extract of turmeric, marigold flavonoids. Its products are used in food and beverage, condiment, pharmaceutical, health product, nutritional supplement, cosmetic, and feed additive industries. The company exports its products to Europe, Asia, Southeast Asia, the America, Oceania, Africa and other regions. ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Handan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ChenGuang Biotech Group reported revenue of ¥6.6B in FY2025 versus ¥4.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥364M in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 291 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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