Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material ¥1.23, price ¥7.26, upside -83.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.07 – ¥8.15 · fair‑value band ¥1.06 – ¥2.13 · the ¥7.26 price screens above the ¥1.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ningbo Xianfeng New Material Co.,Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sales of polymer composite sunshade materials. Ningbo Xianfeng New Material Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Ningbo, China.
Stock analysis
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163) currently trades at ¥7.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.23, 83.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.51 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥7.26 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.7900, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.06 (bear) to ¥2.13 (bull), the price of ¥7.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material reported revenue of 220M CNY in FY2025 versus 306M CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 69.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.4B CNY (≈ $514M) · P/E ratio 103.7 · P/S ratio 32.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Net margin 31.7% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin −16.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −83%, 300163 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.06Fair Value ¥1.23Bull ¥2.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0529 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16.0% vs 8.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Ningbo Xianfeng New Material with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 251 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−83.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Return on assets−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)17.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−16.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)103.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.35× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)26· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Xianfeng New Material Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300163
Frequently asked questions
Is Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.23 versus a price of ¥7.26, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300163?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is ¥1.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.26.
What is the quality score of 300163?
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Xianfeng New Material stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.23, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥7.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 198M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Xianfeng New Material it is ¥1.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.26. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Xianfeng New Material stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300163 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.26, fair value ¥1.23, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300163?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.23). For Ningbo Xianfeng New Material the two are ¥6.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Xianfeng New Material worth?
The market values Ningbo Xianfeng New Material at about 3.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.26; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300163?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Xianfeng New Material: cautious scenario ¥1.06, base ¥1.23, optimistic ¥2.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300163?
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.1, P/S 17.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300163 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material trades at ¥7.26, about 11% below its 52-week high of ¥8.15 and 108% above the low of ¥3.49 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Xianfeng New Material?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Xianfeng New Material stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.26, calculated fair value ¥1.23 (−83%), Quality Score 59/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300163 calculated?
We run Ningbo Xianfeng New Material through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Xianfeng New Material itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥7.26. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.23, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Xianfeng New Material right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥1.06 to ¥2.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material
How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is 3.4B CNY (≈ $514M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is 32.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Xianfeng New Material are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The net margin of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is 31.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is −4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Revenue at Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is growing −25.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Xianfeng New Material are growing +134% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo Xianfeng New Material is −31.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ningbo Xianfeng New Material (300163) hold?
Ningbo Xianfeng New Material holds more cash than debt, 90.1M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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