Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co (300348) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 7.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.59 to ¥1.07 (−32.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.4300 to ¥1.30). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.23 – ¥20.86 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥1.30 · the ¥9.57 price screens above the ¥1.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co (300348) currently trades at ¥9.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.07, implying the stock looks roughly 88.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 706M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4300 (bear case) to ¥1.30 (bull case); at ¥9.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -89%, 300348 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.10) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co., Ltd. provides IT solutions and services for commercial banks and financial institutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co., Ltd. provides IT solutions and services for commercial banks and financial institutions in China and internationally. It provides core products, including core, bank loan, smart deposit, and cash management business systems; and digital products, such as digital core systems, digital financial business platforms, business middle office centers, open platforms, digital loan business systems, and unified payment platforms. The company also offers big data products comprising data warehouse, financial data mart, risk data mart, and smart marketing center, and decision engine solutions, as well as external data management, tag management, data service, and indicator management platforms; and IT consulting and planning, test, training, IT operation and maintenance, and hardware installation services. Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥20.6M in FY2025, compounding −36.4%/yr from FY2021.
300348 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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