NSFOCUS Technologies Group (300369) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.23 to ¥1.01 (−17.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +38.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.73 – ¥24.27 · fair‑value band ¥0.7700 – ¥1.25 · the ¥7.50 price screens above the ¥1.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
NSFOCUS Technologies Group (300369) currently trades at ¥7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.01, implying the stock looks roughly 86.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, NSFOCUS Technologies Group generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.6%. Net debt stands at 82.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7700 (bear case) to ¥1.25 (bull case); at ¥7.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -87%, 300369 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.16) versus Growth DCF (¥0.4400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NSFOCUS Technologies Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides Internet and application security services in China and internationally. The company offers holistic, carrier-grade, and hybrid distributed denial of service (DDoS); and web security solutions.
Full company description
NSFOCUS Technologies Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides Internet and application security services in China and internationally. The company offers holistic, carrier-grade, and hybrid distributed denial of service (DDoS); and web security solutions. It also provides cloud DDoS protection services, which defeats DDoS attacks that impact infrastructure and internet services; continuous threat exposure management services, which is a set of processes and capabilities for identifying, assessing, and mitigating risks within an organization's digital environment; threat intelligence subscription services that minimizes risk and enhances overall security postures; exposure internet surface analysis, which identifies and pinpoints exposure and vulnerability on the Internet; and attack threat monitoring services for DDoS threat analysis and assessment. In addition, the company offers DDoS attack protection, security operation, remote security assessment system, web application and API protection, firewall, and intrusion prevention products; and DDoS defenses, value-added services for internet and managed service providers, 5G network security solutions, and cloud-in-a-box solutions. Further, it provides product support, professional security assessment, managed security, and training services. Additionally, the company engages in software and information technology services; technology promotion and application services; research and experimental development; and professional technical services. It serves telecom carriers, data centers, financial services companies, cloud service providers, managed security services providers, and enterprises. NSFOCUS Technologies Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NSFOCUS Technologies Group reported revenue of ¥2.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥45.3M in FY2025.
300369 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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