Chengdu Yunda Technology Co (300440) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥3.96 to ¥5.55 (+40.2%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −9.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.08 – ¥21.52 · fair‑value band ¥3.99 – ¥6.93 · the ¥19.23 price screens above the ¥5.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Chengdu Yunda Technology Co (300440) currently trades at ¥19.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.55, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Yunda Technology Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 45.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 101.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.99 (bear case) to ¥6.93 (bull case); at ¥19.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -71%, 300440 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.83) versus Asset-Based (¥2.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 300440 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chengdu Yunda Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides rail transit intelligent solutions and services in China. The company offers various solutions, including smart training, intelligent operation and maintenance, smart depot, smart traction power, smart freight, and smart vehicle section, as well as simulation training products.
Full company description
Chengdu Yunda Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides rail transit intelligent solutions and services in China. The company offers various solutions, including smart training, intelligent operation and maintenance, smart depot, smart traction power, smart freight, and smart vehicle section, as well as simulation training products. It also provides repair and maintenance for railroad rolling stock and ground equipment; overhaul of locomotive, passenger and moving cars, and metro vehicle components; agency sale of rolling stock parts, railway special equipment, special parts, and various types of consumables; technical services for various rail transportation fields; and technological change development. The company serves national railways, urban railways, and vocational colleges. Chengdu Yunda Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chengdu Yunda Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥906M in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥87.1M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.
300440 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $293.73 | $141.29 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $50.08 | $12.62 | -75% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.69 | $34.23 | -63% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$176.01 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $335.41 | $114.55 | -66% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $295.54 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.65 | +12% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
Compare Chengdu Yunda Technology Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Chengdu Yunda Technology Co (300440) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 300440?
What is the quality score of 300440?
What is the revenue of Chengdu Yunda Technology Co (300440)?
What is the net profit margin of 300440?
Does Chengdu Yunda Technology Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Chengdu Yunda Technology Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.