Sai MicroElectronics Inc (300456) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 30.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −17.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥20.69 to ¥40.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.22 – ¥65.15 · fair‑value band ¥20.69 – ¥40.13 · the ¥31.96 price screens above the ¥27.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Sai MicroElectronics Inc (300456) currently trades at ¥31.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥27.59, implying the stock looks roughly 13.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 659M CNY. Revenue declined 62.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 799M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥20.69 (bear case) to ¥40.13 (bull case); at ¥31.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -14%, 300456 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥43.90) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.6400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sai MicroElectronics Inc. engages in the development and sale of micro-electromechanical systems products in China and internationally. It is also involved in the provision of wafer manufacturing services; and sale of semiconductor equipment.
Full company description
Sai MicroElectronics Inc. engages in the development and sale of micro-electromechanical systems products in China and internationally. It is also involved in the provision of wafer manufacturing services; and sale of semiconductor equipment. It serves the manufacturers of DNA/RNA sequencing machines, lithography machines, silicon photons, AI computing, ICT, infrared thermal imaging, computer networks and systems, metaverse, and medical equipment; and enterprises in various sub industries, as well as communications, biomedical, industrial automobile, consumer electronics, and other fields. Sai MicroElectronics Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sai MicroElectronics Inc reported revenue of ¥824M in FY2025 versus ¥929M in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2025, compounding +63.6%/yr from FY2021.
300456 screens 14% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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