EST Tools Co (300488) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −25.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.96 to ¥19.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.82 – ¥50.33 · fair‑value band ¥7.96 – ¥19.80 · the ¥31.49 price screens above the ¥13.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
EST Tools Co (300488) currently trades at ¥31.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.92, implying the stock looks roughly 55.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, EST Tools Co generated revenue of 730M CNY at a net margin of 25.0%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at 326M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.96 (bear case) to ¥19.80 (bull case); at ¥31.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -56%, 300488 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.89) versus Growth DCF (¥3.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EST Tools Co., Ltd. provides precision cutting and measuring tools in China and internationally. The company offers round and form broaches; cold forming tools; precision measuring tools; gear cutting tools; custom drilling and milling cutters; annular cutters; and thread tools and thread gauges.
Full company description
EST Tools Co., Ltd. provides precision cutting and measuring tools in China and internationally. The company offers round and form broaches; cold forming tools; precision measuring tools; gear cutting tools; custom drilling and milling cutters; annular cutters; and thread tools and thread gauges. Its products are used in automobile, wind turbine, civil aviation, construction machinery, automation and robotics, high-end equipment, rail transit, heavy truck, steel structure, and power plant equipment industries. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EST Tools Co reported revenue of ¥713M in FY2025 versus ¥509M in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥169M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.
300488 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
Compare EST Tools Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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