Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd stock ¥4.09, price ¥19.92, upside -79.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.97 – ¥47.33 · fair‑value band ¥3.45 – ¥5.99 · the ¥19.92 price screens above the ¥4.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of natural gas liquefaction, liquid air separation, and cryogenic liquid storage and transportation equipment in China and internationally.
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The company offers coke oven gas liquefaction, coalbed methane liquefaction, air separation, chemical tail gas and light oxygen recovery, oxygen and nitrogen liquefaction, ammonia extraction, HYCO separation, and electronic special gas equipment; and LNG/L-CNG refueling station, hydrogen filling station, large cryogenic liquid storage tank, turboexpander unit, and other products.
It also offers transportation products, including integrated energy station, charging station, gas station, and other products.
In addition, the company engages in the gas and clean energy investment and operation businesses that produces and sells industrial, special, and rare gases, as well as liquefied natural gas.
Its products are used in smelting, chemical, machinery, semiconductors, medical treatment, food, vehicle (ship) fuel, urban peak-shaving station, and other fields.
The company was formerly known as Chengdu Shenleng Liquefaction Plant Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. in March 2022. Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Stock analysis
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) currently trades at ¥19.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.09, 79.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.43 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥19.92 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5800, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥3.45 (bear) to ¥5.99 (bull), the price of ¥19.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 710M CNY in FY2025 versus 533M CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 60.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B CNY (≈ $688M) Small · P/E ratio 58.6 · P/S ratio 5.68 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3400 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −79%, 300540 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.5800 to ¥22.10). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥3.45Fair Value ¥4.09Bull¥5.99
Price ¥19.92 · Upside -79.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2407 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +40.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +40.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Per share before 2018divided by the spin-off factor 1.5005
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 40.2% / −2.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.048 per share, median 0.13 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Compare Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 812 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−79.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.3% · Above median
Return on assets2.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)10.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)13.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)30.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)58.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.04× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)5.68× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA41.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 28
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300540
Frequently asked questions
Is Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.09 versus a price of ¥19.92, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300540?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is ¥4.09 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.92.
What is the quality score of 300540?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.09 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.45, optimistic scenario ¥5.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.09, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥19.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.45, optimistic scenario ¥5.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 805M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd it is ¥4.09 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥19.92. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 300540 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.92, fair value ¥4.09, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300540?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.09). For Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥15.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd at about 4.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.92; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300540?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.45, base ¥4.09, optimistic ¥5.99 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥19.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300540?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 58.6 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.0, P/S 5.7, EV/EBITDA 41.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300540 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥19.92, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥47.33 and 15% above the low of ¥17.26 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥19.92, calculated fair value ¥4.09 (−79%), Quality Score 47/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300540 calculated?
We run Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was ¥19.92. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.09, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) come from?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd grew −8.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.4 %, EBIT margin −8.3 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 4.6B CNY (≈ $688M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 5.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 58.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 0.3% (payout 14.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The net margin of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 10.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Revenue at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is growing +30.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd are growing +170% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) generate?
The free cash flow of Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd is −134M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) hold?
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 311M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 30, 2026