Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price −8.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 401% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.97 – ¥47.33 · fair‑value band ¥4.16 – ¥6.69 · the ¥27.74 price screens above the ¥5.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd (300540) currently trades at ¥27.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 80.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 759M CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 94.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 311M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.16 (bear case) to ¥6.69 (bull case); at ¥27.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -80%, 300540 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.28) versus Asset-Based (¥3.33). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of natural gas liquefaction, liquid air separation, and cryogenic liquid storage and transportation equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of natural gas liquefaction, liquid air separation, and cryogenic liquid storage and transportation equipment in China and internationally. The company offers coke oven gas liquefaction, coalbed methane liquefaction, air separation, chemical tail gas and light oxygen recovery, oxygen and nitrogen liquefaction, ammonia extraction, HYCO separation, and electronic special gas equipment; and LNG/L-CNG refueling station, hydrogen filling station, large cryogenic liquid storage tank, turboexpander unit, and other products. It also offers transportation products, including integrated energy station, charging station, gas station, and other products. In addition, the company engages in the gas and clean energy investment and operation businesses that produces and sells industrial, special, and rare gases, as well as liquefied natural gas. Its products are used in smelting, chemical, machinery, semiconductors, medical treatment, food, vehicle (ship) fuel, urban peak-shaving station, and other fields. The company was formerly known as Chengdu Shenleng Liquefaction Plant Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. in March 2022. Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥710M in FY2025 versus ¥533M in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥60.1M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +5.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300540 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $966.01 | $131.95 | -86% |
| SIE SIE | €281.95 | €139.77 | -50% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $459.96 | $168.65 | -63% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $1,042 | $398.69 | -62% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 202.30 | kr 112.59 | -44% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $637.85 | $348.94 | -45% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $292.51 | $145.84 | -50% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $163.80 | $58.44 | -64% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $258.52 | $125.80 | -51% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $451.39 | $125.76 | -72% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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