Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd ¥1.18, price ¥9.75, upside -87.9%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.17 – ¥54.54 · fair‑value band ¥0.8800 – ¥1.77 · the ¥9.75 price screens above the ¥1.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co.,Ltd provides network energy solutions and services in China and internationally.
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Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co.,Ltd provides network energy solutions and services in China and internationally. It offers telecom solutions comprising power cores, telecom batteries, and telecom cabinets; household batteries, such as LV and HV home batteries, HV all in one batteries, inverter, and cells and modules; and outdoor and indoor C and I solutions. The company also provides ODN series products, including optical fiber distribution frames, rack-type terminal boxes, SMC OCC, optical distribution boxes, field mount connectors, FTTH network end products, fiber optic movable connectors, and optical splitters, as well as 5G C-RAN intelligent module solution adopts. It serves operators and ICT equipment vendors. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565) currently trades at ¥9.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.18, 87.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.8800 (bear) to ¥1.77 (bull), the price of ¥9.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd reported revenue of 591M CNY in FY2025 versus 705M CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −97.6M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B CNY (≈ $467M) · P/S ratio 5.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3700 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −16.5% · Return on equity −17.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.3% · Operating margin −9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −88%, 300565 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.8800Fair Value ¥1.18Bull ¥1.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.6% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2020) → −11.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 299 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−15.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.79× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 49
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300565
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.18 versus a price of ¥9.75, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300565?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is ¥1.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.75.
What is the quality score of 300565?
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8800, optimistic scenario ¥1.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.18, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥9.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8800, optimistic scenario ¥1.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 589M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd it is ¥1.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.75. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300565 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.75, fair value ¥1.18, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300565?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.18). For Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd the two are ¥8.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd at about 3.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.75; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300565?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8800, base ¥1.18, optimistic ¥1.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.5%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300565 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd trades at ¥9.75, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥15.69 and 18% above the low of ¥8.24 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.75, calculated fair value ¥1.18 (−88%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300565 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥9.75. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.18, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.8800 to ¥1.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is 3.1B CNY (≈ $467M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is 5.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd are ¥−0.3700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is −16.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is −17.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is −9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is growing −1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is −83.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd (300565) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Kexin Communication Technologies Co Ltd is 453M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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