XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd ¥1.22, price ¥9.95, upside -87.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.91 – ¥25.82 · fair‑value band ¥0.8000 – ¥1.52 · the ¥9.95 price screens above the ¥1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aviation electromechanical products primarily in China.
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Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aviation electromechanical products primarily in China. The company offers aviation inertial navigation products, including flexible, optical fiber, laser, and piezoelectric strapdown inertial integrated navigation systems; and aviation engine electronic products, such as aviation engine parameter collectors, flight control computers, and aviation engine electronic control systems. It also provides professional technical services. Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Xi'an, China.
Stock analysis
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) currently trades at ¥9.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.22, 87.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.8000 (bear) to ¥1.52 (bull), the price of ¥9.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd reported revenue of 130M CNY in FY2025 versus 224M CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −72.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.1B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 51.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1200 · Net margin −56.1% · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −48.3% · Revenue (TTM) 139M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −88%, 300581 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.8000Fair Value ¥1.22Bull ¥1.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.7% (2020) → −14.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−49.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−48.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth266.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.61× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.22 versus a price of ¥9.95, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300581?
Our model-based fair value for XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is ¥1.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.95.
What is the quality score of 300581?
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥1.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.22, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥9.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥1.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 139M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd it is ¥1.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.95. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300581 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.95, fair value ¥1.22, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300581?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.22). For XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd the two are ¥8.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd worth?
The market values XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd at about 7.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.95; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300581?
Our models span a range for XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8000, base ¥1.22, optimistic ¥1.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Balance-sheet figures for XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300581 from its 52-week high?
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd trades at ¥9.95, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥20.68 and 13% above the low of ¥8.78 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.95, calculated fair value ¥1.22 (−88%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300581 calculated?
We run XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥9.95. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.22, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.8000 to ¥1.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) come from?
Earnings per share at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd grew −11.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin −11.7 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The market capitalisation of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is 7.1B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is 51.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Earnings per share at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd are ¥−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The net margin of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is −56.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
The operating margin of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is −48.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Revenue at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is growing +267% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581)?
Earnings per share at XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd are growing +21.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) generate?
The free cash flow of XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd is −89.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd (300581) hold?
XiAn ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 84.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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