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Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co (300629) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY

GK Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co 300629 · SHE
Price¥17.90
Fair Value¥6.81
Upside-62.0%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 25.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.10 – ¥8.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥33.14 ¥10.15 Fair Value ¥6.81 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.15 – ¥33.14 · fair‑value band ¥5.10 – ¥8.51 · the ¥17.90 price screens above the ¥6.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co (300629) currently trades at ¥17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.81, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co generated revenue of 437M CNY at a net margin of 25.4%. Revenue grew 94.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 166M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.10 (bear case) to ¥8.51 (bull case); at ¥17.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -62%, 300629 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.35 ¥9.91 ¥13.35 80
Residual Income ¥5.24 ¥5.22 ¥4.79 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.55 ¥5.84 ¥7.31 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.23 ¥10.07 ¥14.10 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.08 ¥3.99 ¥5.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.55 ¥5.75 ¥7.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.14 ¥10.45 ¥14.21 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.22 ¥8.78 ¥11.38 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.46 ¥6.74 ¥8.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.11 ¥9.89 ¥13.40 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.55 ¥8.77 ¥11.33 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.20 ¥6.00 ¥7.86 54
Lynch FV ¥1.18 ¥1.69 ¥2.20 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.18 ¥1.69 ¥2.20 46
EPV ¥6.08 ¥6.86 ¥7.54 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.10 ¥6.81 ¥8.51 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.34 ¥3.12 ¥3.90 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.13 ¥5.51 ¥6.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.08 ¥11.73 ¥14.39 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.88 ¥10.13 ¥12.38 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.10 ¥3.94 ¥4.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.51 ¥4.70 ¥7.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.35 ¥9.91 ¥13.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.55 ¥5.84 ¥7.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.24 ¥5.22 ¥4.79 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.08 ¥6.86 ¥7.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.04 ¥5.77 ¥7.50 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.77) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 437M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +94.9%
Net margin 25.4%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow 147M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 50.0
More key figures
Operating margin 24.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4300
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -89.5%
Net cash 166M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 33
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the new materials and electronic business in China. It offers power amplifier and filter modules; launching components; power amplifiers; frequency hopping filter components; TR components; switch co-address filter components; and solid-state transmitter equipment.

Full company description

Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the new materials and electronic business in China. It offers power amplifier and filter modules; launching components; power amplifiers; frequency hopping filter components; TR components; switch co-address filter components; and solid-state transmitter equipment. The company also provides thermal barrier coatings, carbon fiber products, wave absorbing materials, and photelectric products. In addition, it offers radio frequency microwave products and material products for special application fields, as well as provides filtering, receiving, frequency conversion and other related circuit modules; components; equipment; and systems. Its products are used in various applications, such as radar, monitoring, direction finding, communication, navigation, aerospace, shipbuilding, electronic countermeasures, and other industries. The company was formerly known as King-Strong New Material Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co., Ltd. in October 2021. Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co reported revenue of ¥392M in FY2025 versus ¥360M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥81.5M in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
392M CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+10.4%
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 ¥360M
FY22 ¥430M
FY23 ¥511M
FY24 ¥481M
FY25 ¥392M
Net income −4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥97.0M
FY22 ¥132M
FY23 ¥139M
FY24 ¥120M
FY25 ¥81.5M

300629 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300629

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 95% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 12.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 30.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 35
PAST 28 · sector 21
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co (300629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.81 versus a price of ¥17.90, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300629?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co is ¥6.81 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.90.
What is the quality score of 300629?
Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co (300629)?
Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 437M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300629?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co is about 25.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong Kingstrong Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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