Fibocom Wireless Inc (300638) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 18.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +21.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.94 – ¥41.02 · fair‑value band ¥11.14 – ¥18.57 · the ¥20.83 price screens above the ¥14.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Fibocom Wireless Inc (300638) currently trades at ¥20.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.86, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Fibocom Wireless Inc generated revenue of 6.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 247M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.14 (bear case) to ¥18.57 (bull case); at ¥20.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -29%, 300638 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.22) versus Asset-Based (¥5.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fibocom Wireless Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communication modules and artificial intelligence solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
Fibocom Wireless Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communication modules and artificial intelligence solutions in China and internationally. It offers wireless communication products, including 5G, LTE, smart, and Wi-Fi modules; AI and robot solutions, such as embodied intelligent development platform, mobile robotics, and lawn mowing robot; and intelligent vehicle comprising smart connectivity, smart cockpit, and software solutions. The company also engages in trading; market expansion; investment activities; and in-vehicle and cloud services. Its products are used in robotics, consumer electronics, low-altitude economy, intelligent transportation, smart retail, and smart energy industries. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fibocom Wireless Inc reported revenue of ¥7.0B in FY2025 versus ¥4.1B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥347M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.
300638 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 290 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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