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Zhongfu Information Inc (300659) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY

ZI Zhongfu Information Inc 300659 · SHE
Price¥10.50
Fair Value¥2.38
Upside-77.3%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -14.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.09 – ¥2.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥14.37 to ¥2.38 (−83.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥50.53 ¥8.92 Fair Value ¥2.38 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.92 – ¥50.53 · fair‑value band ¥2.09 – ¥2.67 · the ¥10.50 price screens above the ¥2.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhongfu Information Inc (300659) currently trades at ¥10.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.38, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhongfu Information Inc generated revenue of 698M CNY at a net margin of -14.0%. Revenue declined 31.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 323M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.09 (bear case) to ¥2.67 (bull case); at ¥10.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -77%, 300659 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥2.89 ¥3.18 ¥3.46 54
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.21 ¥4.79 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.89 ¥3.18 ¥3.46 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.21 ¥4.79 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.21) versus Multiples (¥3.18). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 698M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.2%
Net margin -14.0%
Return on equity -8.0%
Free cash flow −64.6M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -140%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -30.7%
Net cash 323M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhongfu Information Inc. engages in the research, development, and sale of information security technology and products in China.

Full company description

Zhongfu Information Inc. engages in the research, development, and sale of information security technology and products in China. The company offers security and confidentiality suite management, electronic document security classification management, printing and burning security monitoring and auditing, network access control, and safe keyboard display mouse switcher systems; secret guard, group security and monitoring, and security integrated situation awareness and analysis; and mobile terminal security inspection and storage media information systems. It also provides intelligent assisted confidentiality and military security management system; domestic label management, document security monitoring and auditing, interactive printing terminal, CD/DVD/printer/burner, smart file recycling cabinet, network security isolation and one-way information import, and confidentiality inspection systems; classified computer self-inspection and monitoring, internet security monitoring and early warning, data security exchange, and network security and confidentiality monitoring and early warning platforms; endpoint security sandbox system and data identification management, clock synchronization device, and intelligent wireless signal positioning systems; GPS tracker detection; and mobile communication jammers. In addition, the company provides various solutions, such as office data leakage prevention, security service, data security protection and monitoring early warning, electromagnetic space safety overall, electronic document lifecycle security, information technology innovation security protection, integrated confidentiality and security inspection and rectification, integrated inspection, monitoring and early warning, internet-based city-level monitoring and early warning, safety monitoring and early warning, government application security monitoring, and security inspection business solutions. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhongfu Information Inc reported revenue of ¥725M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥104M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
725M CNY
Latest YoY
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Revenue −13.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥644M
FY23 ¥919M
FY24 ¥785M
FY25 ¥725M
Net income
FY21 ¥117M
FY22 −¥447M
FY23 −¥186M
FY24 −¥125M
FY25 −¥104M

300659 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongfu Information Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300659

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -140% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -31% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongfu Information Inc (300659) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.38 versus a price of ¥10.50, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300659?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongfu Information Inc is ¥2.38 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.50.
What is the quality score of 300659?
Zhongfu Information Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhongfu Information Inc (300659)?
Zhongfu Information Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 698M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300659?
The net profit margin of Zhongfu Information Inc is about -14.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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