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Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd stock ¥4.13, price ¥39.15, that is 89.5% below the price, quality 13 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100003QG2

QH Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 13, 2026

Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd

300779 · SHE

Far too expensive (fair value 90% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.5 %/yr in CNY) 
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin (FY2025) 
0.3% dividend yield · Token dividend
Revenue last quarter 19% below a year ago. 
Fair value ¥4.13 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 13/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
High debt 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/12) 
Narrow moat 22/100
Thin data 
Extreme value
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥174.44 ¥5.81 Fair Value ¥4.13 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.81 – ¥174.44 · fair‑value band ¥3.46 – ¥5.16 · the ¥39.15 price screens above the ¥4.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the production and supply of FCC catalyst and additives in China.

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The company provides various formulations of FCC catalyst under the Essence, Enhance, Excel, Endure, Evoke, Agile, Attain, Extend, and Erudite names; and Y and NaX zeolite, specialty alumina, and aluminosilicates for various applications.

It also offers FCC additives, such as HCSP, a ZSM-5 additive; HCSO, a ZSM-5 additive focused on gasoline octane improvement; HIPA, a ZSM-5 additive with enhanced gasoline cracking; HCBA, a butylene selective ZSM-5 additive; VTRAC, a metal and vanadium trap; STRAC, a Sox reduction additive; and BUA, a bottoms upgrading additive.

In addition, the company provides technical services, which analyzes catalyst samples from multiple refinery units. Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Qingdao, China.

Stock analysis

Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) currently trades at ¥39.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.13, 90% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥5.52 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥39.15 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.44, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.46 (bear) to ¥5.16 (bull), the price of ¥39.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 285M CNY in FY2021, a compound +41.3%/yr. Reported net income was 58.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding +49.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 12.1B CNY (≈ $1.8B) Small · P/S ratio 13.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity −1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −90%, 300779 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥1.30 to ¥16.40). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥3.46 Fair Value ¥4.13 Bull ¥5.16
Price ¥39.15 · Downside -89.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥3.46 ¥3.44 ¥3.54 76
Gordon GGM ¥2.42 ¥4.51 ¥6.41 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.42 ¥4.05 ¥4.80 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.34 ¥9.33 ¥13.09 63
Lynch FV ¥3.41 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.41 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.42 ¥4.51 ¥6.41 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.42 ¥4.05 ¥4.80 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.10 ¥4.13 ¥5.16 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.51 ¥3.34 ¥4.18 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.30 ¥16.40 ¥20.50 55
EV/EBIT n/a ¥1.30 ¥3.58 61
EV/EBITDA ¥4.59 ¥8.73 ¥12.87 64
EV/Revenue n/a n/a ¥1.12 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.82 ¥2.44 ¥3.65 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.46 ¥3.44 ¥3.54 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.87 ¥5.52 ¥7.18 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 22
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 3
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.5% vs 1.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 14%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.27 per share, median 0.55 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.

300779 screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 167 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 5.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) −0.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −19.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.55× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 11.97× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 47.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)22 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300779

Frequently asked questions

Is Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.13 versus a price of ¥39.15, about 90% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300779?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is ¥4.13 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥39.15.
What is the quality score of 300779?
Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.13 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.46, optimistic scenario ¥5.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.13, about 90% lower versus a price of ¥39.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.46, optimistic scenario ¥5.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.107 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 12, 2026. The payout ratio is 54.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.3% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.3% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd it is ¥4.13 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of ¥39.15. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 300779 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥39.15, fair value ¥4.13, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300779?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥39.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.13). For Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd the two are ¥35.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd worth?
The market values Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd at about 12.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥39.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300779?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.46, base ¥4.13, optimistic ¥5.16 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price ¥39.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity −1.5%, debt of 1.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300779 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd trades at ¥39.15, about 65% below its 52-week high of ¥112.02 and at the low of ¥39.02 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price ¥39.15, calculated fair value ¥4.13 (−90%), Quality Score 13/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300779 calculated?
We run Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.13 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was ¥39.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.13, about 90% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The market capitalisation of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is 12.1B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is 13.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd are ¥−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The dividend yield of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The net margin of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
The operating margin of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Revenue at Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is growing −19.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +46.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd are growing +151% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) generate?
The free cash flow of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is −1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd (300779) carry?
The net debt of Qingdao Huicheng Environmental Co Ltd is 2.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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