Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Beijing Compass Technology Develop stock ¥20.69, price ¥52.04, upside -60.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.97 – ¥119.14 · fair‑value band ¥14.48 – ¥26.89 · the ¥52.04 price screens above the ¥20.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
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Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd. develops and provides securities analysis software and securities information solutions under the Compass brand in China.
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The company offers investors with financial data analysis and securities investment consulting services through securities tool software terminals as a carrier and the Internet as a tool. The company also provides securities, insurance brokerage, and online advertising services.
In addition, it engages in business support, invest, capital market, and telecommunications activities. The company serves individual professional, and small and medium-sized investors.
Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Beijing Compass Securities Research Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd. in April 2001. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) currently trades at ¥52.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.69, 60.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥95.75 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥52.04 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.66, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥14.48 (bear) to ¥26.89 (bull), the price of ¥52.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Beijing Compass Technology Develop reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 932M CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.1%/yr. Reported net income was 228M CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 46.5B CNY (≈ $7.0B) Mid · P/E ratio 226.3 · P/S ratio 18.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −60%, 300803 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.2700 to ¥95.75). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥14.48Fair Value ¥20.69Bull¥26.89
Price ¥52.04 · Upside -60.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1405 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥59.80¥85.22¥163.0877
5Y EBITDA Exit¥26.04¥29.97¥37.3777
Growth DCF¥56.71¥95.75¥157.8976
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥59.80¥85.22¥163.0877
Owner Earnings¥16.27¥23.69¥38.2175
5Y Revenue Exit¥24.89¥27.65¥32.7674
5Y EBITDA Exit¥26.04¥29.97¥37.3777
5Y P/E Exit¥28.62¥40.10¥53.7671
10Y Revenue Exit¥36.03¥48.47¥50.6168
10Y EBITDA Exit¥36.83¥50.82¥69.2169
10Y P/E Exit¥38.64¥56.13¥80.3964
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥1.73¥12.09¥16.9763
Lynch FV¥5.80¥8.28¥10.7761
PEG = 1.0¥5.80¥8.28¥10.7757
EPV¥10.02¥10.05¥10.0674
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.1600¥0.3100¥0.450067
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.1600¥0.2700¥0.330067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥5.35¥7.14¥8.9263
P/S Multiple¥3.25¥4.33¥5.4258
P/B Multiple¥5.54¥7.39¥9.2455
EV/EBIT¥9.59¥9.70¥9.8166
EV/EBITDA¥11.03¥11.62¥12.2167
EV/Revenue¥9.42¥9.50¥9.5754
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.2800¥0.4200¥0.520055
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥56.71¥95.75¥157.8976
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥2.52¥2.66¥3.0076
ROIC Compounder¥10.02¥10.05¥10.0672
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥8.52¥12.17¥15.8267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.5% vs −1.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.5% a year for the price.
Compare Beijing Compass Technology Develop with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 651 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−60.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.2% · Above median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)8.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)40.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)226.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B16.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)18.68× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow15.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)2· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.69 versus a price of ¥52.04, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300803?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Compass Technology Develop is ¥20.69 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥52.04.
What is the quality score of 300803?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥20.69 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥14.48, optimistic scenario ¥26.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Compass Technology Develop stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥20.69, about −60% upside versus a price of ¥52.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥14.48, optimistic scenario ¥26.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
Does Beijing Compass Technology Develop pay a dividend?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop currently shows a dividend yield of 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing Compass Technology Develop would have to grow free cash flow by -8.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.3 % per year. As of Oct 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300803 use?
Our models discount Beijing Compass Technology Develop at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Beijing Compass Technology Develop that is -8.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Beijing Compass Technology Develop grew +25.3 % a year. The price currently implies -8.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Beijing Compass Technology Develop (-8.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.17 %: that much free cash flow Beijing Compass Technology Develop produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Compass Technology Develop it is ¥20.69 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of ¥52.04. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Compass Technology Develop stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, 300803 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥52.04, fair value ¥20.69, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300803?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥52.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥20.69). For Beijing Compass Technology Develop the two are ¥31.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Compass Technology Develop worth?
The market values Beijing Compass Technology Develop at about 46.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is ¥52.04; our models calculate a fair value of ¥20.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300803?
Our models span a range for Beijing Compass Technology Develop: cautious scenario ¥14.48, base ¥20.69, optimistic ¥26.89 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price ¥52.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300803?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 226.3 (as of Oct 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥20.69 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 260.2 (reported for FY2025: 142.5). Other multiples: P/B 16.7, P/S 18.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Compass Technology Develop (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300803 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop trades at ¥52.04, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥108.31 and 2% above the low of ¥50.97 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥20.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Compass Technology Develop?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Compass Technology Develop stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price ¥52.04, calculated fair value ¥20.69 (−60%), Quality Score 46/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300803 calculated?
We run Beijing Compass Technology Develop through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥20.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Compass Technology Develop itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥52.04. Our model-based fair value is ¥20.69, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Compass Technology Develop right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥14.48 to ¥26.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Beijing Compass Technology Develop
How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 46.5B CNY (≈ $7.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 18.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Compass Technology Develop are ¥0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 226.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The dividend yield of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 0.1% (payout 43.7%, on adjusted earnings, reported 23.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The net margin of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 8.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
The operating margin of Beijing Compass Technology Develop is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Revenue at Beijing Compass Technology Develop is growing +40.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Compass Technology Develop are growing +233% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Beijing Compass Technology Develop (300803) hold?
Beijing Compass Technology Develop holds more cash than debt, 8.3B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Oct 14, 2026