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EIT Environmental Development Group (300815) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY

EE EIT Environmental Development Group 300815 · SHE
Price¥16.34
Fair Value¥29.40
Upside+79.9%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.81% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥22.05 – ¥36.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥30.04 to ¥29.40 (−2.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 80% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥22.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥33.07 ¥10.06 Fair Value ¥29.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.06 – ¥33.07 · fair‑value band ¥22.05 – ¥36.75 · the ¥16.34 price screens below the ¥29.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

EIT Environmental Development Group (300815) currently trades at ¥16.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.40, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, EIT Environmental Development Group generated revenue of 7.8B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥22.05 (bear case) to ¥36.75 (bull case); at ¥16.34, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 80%, 300815 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.46 ¥12.35 ¥24.96 76
ROIC Compounder ¥24.30 ¥33.38 ¥45.69 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.81 ¥32.58 ¥42.36 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.52 ¥54.59 ¥75.91 54
Lynch FV ¥15.38 ¥21.97 ¥28.56 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥15.38 ¥21.97 ¥28.56 46
EPV ¥20.72 ¥23.82 ¥26.49 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥22.05 ¥29.40 ¥36.75 63
P/S Multiple ¥17.85 ¥23.80 ¥29.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥17.85 ¥23.80 ¥29.75 55
EV/EBIT ¥34.57 ¥45.72 ¥56.88 53
EV/EBITDA ¥36.06 ¥47.71 ¥59.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥24.99 ¥35.22 ¥45.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.69 ¥7.63 ¥11.39 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.46 ¥12.35 ¥24.96 76
ROIC Compounder ¥24.30 ¥33.38 ¥45.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.81 ¥32.58 ¥42.36 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥32.58) versus Asset-Based (¥7.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow −276M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.41
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net debt 1.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd offers urban integrated operation and management services. It provides building cleaning, property management, urban greening management, domestic waste treatment equipment manufacturing, and termite prevention services; vector, forestry pest, indoor air pollution, and atmospheric environmental pollution control …

Full company description

EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd offers urban integrated operation and management services. It provides building cleaning, property management, urban greening management, domestic waste treatment equipment manufacturing, and termite prevention services; vector, forestry pest, indoor air pollution, and atmospheric environmental pollution control services; landscaping project construction; environmental protection equipment manufacturing; environmental protection equipment sales; flower planting; flower and green plant rental and management; machinery and equipment rental; and machinery and equipment sales services. The company also engages in leasing services; sale of new energy vehicles; car sales; small and micro passenger car leasing and operating services; professional cleaning, washing, and disinfection services; water pollution control; environmental sanitation public facilities installation; market management; municipal facilities management; sewage treatment and recycling; solid waste management; recycling of renewable resources; parking lot, housekeeping, and labor services; research and development of technology for harmless resource utilization of agricultural and forestry wastes; research and development of resource recycling technology; wholesale of clothing and accessories, kitchenware, sanitary ware, and daily sundries, as well as daily necessities and hardware products; retail of clothing and accessories; retail of hardware products; information consulting services; repair and maintenance of motor vehicles; and sale of plastic and labor protection products and daily necessities. In addition, it is involved in urban domestic waste business; restaurant kitchen waste treatment; indoor environment testing; construction project construction; road freight transport; hazardous waste management; Internet information services; and tap water production and supply activities. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EIT Environmental Development Group reported revenue of ¥7.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.8B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥558M in FY2025, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+21.3%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 ¥4.8B
FY22 ¥5.4B
FY23 ¥6.2B
FY24 ¥7.2B
FY25 ¥7.7B
Net income +4.2%/yr
FY21 ¥473M
FY22 ¥494M
FY23 ¥521M
FY24 ¥575M
FY25 ¥558M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EIT Environmental Development Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300815

Peer Group

Waste Management · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +80% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 10
FUTURE 22 · sector 21
PAST 49 · sector 24
HEALTH 93 · sector 82
DIVIDEND 36 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.18 ¥20.91 +29%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EIT Environmental Development Group (300815) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥29.40 versus a price of ¥16.34, about +80% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300815?
Our model-based fair value for EIT Environmental Development Group is ¥29.40 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.34.
What is the quality score of 300815?
EIT Environmental Development Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EIT Environmental Development Group (300815)?
EIT Environmental Development Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300815?
The net profit margin of EIT Environmental Development Group is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EIT Environmental Development Group pay a dividend?
EIT Environmental Development Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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