Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery ¥6.32, price ¥16.68, upside -62.1%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.04 – ¥43.15 · fair‑value band ¥4.93 – ¥7.91 · the ¥16.68 price screens above the ¥6.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Naipu Mining Machinery Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, produces, sells, and services heavy-duty mine dressing equipment and wear-resistant spare parts in China. The company offers slurry pumps, mill liners, trommels, screen media products, hydrocyclone products, pipes and hoses, and flotation rotor and stator products.
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Naipu Mining Machinery Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, produces, sells, and services heavy-duty mine dressing equipment and wear-resistant spare parts in China. The company offers slurry pumps, mill liners, trommels, screen media products, hydrocyclone products, pipes and hoses, and flotation rotor and stator products. It also provides heavy-duty beneficiation equipment optimization, beneficiation process design, consultation and optimization, and other value-added services. The company was formerly known as Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery and New Materials Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Naipu Mining Machinery Co., Ltd. in August 2020. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Guangxin, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) currently trades at ¥16.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.32, implying the stock looks roughly 163.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥9.48 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥16.68 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥4.72, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥4.93 (bear) to ¥7.91 (bull), the price of ¥16.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 77.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $756M) · P/E ratio 57.5 · P/S ratio 4.43 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2900 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −62%, 300818 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.93Fair Value ¥6.32Bull ¥7.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1053 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 11%
Compare Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)57.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)4.79× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA23.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.32 versus a price of ¥16.68, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300818?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is ¥6.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.68.
What is the quality score of 300818?
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.93, optimistic scenario ¥7.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.32, about −62% upside versus a price of ¥16.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.93, optimistic scenario ¥7.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery it is ¥6.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥16.68. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300818 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.68, fair value ¥6.32, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300818?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.32). For Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery the two are ¥10.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery worth?
The market values Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.68; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300818?
Our models span a range for Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery: cautious scenario ¥4.93, base ¥6.32, optimistic ¥7.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥16.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300818?
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 23.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300818 from its 52-week high?
Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery trades at ¥16.68, about 61% below its 52-week high of ¥43.15 and 3% above the low of ¥16.23 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥16.68, calculated fair value ¥6.32 (−62%), Quality Score 30/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300818 calculated?
We run Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥16.68. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.32, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) come from?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery grew +6.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.9 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 5.1B CNY (≈ $756M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 4.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery are ¥0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The dividend yield of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 0.9% (payout 50.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The net margin of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
The operating margin of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Revenue at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is growing +24.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery are growing +14.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is −367M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery (300818) carry?
The net debt of Jiangxi Naipu Mining Machinery is 70.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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